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Friends, I am the key. I guess many people are thinking about the trend of ETH today - it can't fall even if it falls, and it can't rise even if it rises. Will it hit 3680, or rush to 3840 or even 4035? Don't worry, I'll help you sort it out. 1. Why is the market so "grinding" on Sunday? Have you ever noticed that ETH often "goes sideways" on weekends? The reason is simple: trading volume has shrunk, and both bulls and shorts are waiting and watching. If you look at the one-hour chart, the volume has shrunk significantly, and the price is testing back and forth around 3840, but no one dares to take the lead in smashing or pulling the market. At this time, it is most likely to have a "false breakthrough" and be washed out accidentally. Let’s look at the news again:  In the past 24 hours, CEX has had a net outflow of 130,000 ETH, indicating that large investors are withdrawing coins, either to mortgage or to prepare to run. One address withdrew 20,000 ETH from Binance, probably to repay Aave's loan - this means that leverage is decreasing and market enthusiasm is receding. 2. Why am I bearish on the future market?  Although ETH broke through the key level of 3840, the pressure above 4035 is very obvious. From a technical perspective: MACD is below the 0 axis. Although the white line is turning upward, the yellow line has not yet caught up, indicating that the rebound is not strong enough. The RSI is near 44, neither strong nor weak, and is an awkward position that can go up or down. The most important thing is that if 4035 does not break, the rebound will lure bulls. 3. What should retail investors do? Remember these two tricks 1. Don’t chase the high, wait until it comes back and step on it If ETH reaches around 4035 but fails to break through, you can test the short position with a short position, place the stop loss at 4050, and target 3840 → 3680. If it falls directly to 3680, don't rush to buy the bottom, wait until it stabilizes before taking action. 2. Look at quantity and follow the general trend Remember one sentence: "If the amount is not enough, don't force it." If the trading volume does not increase during the rebound, it is most likely a false rise. For example, yesterday's wave of gains caused the volume to shrink, but then it fell back again. 4. Are there any “big opportunities” in the future? In fact, ETH is now following a "triangular convergence". Once it breaks through, there will be a big market trend. Should it go up to 4100, or go down to 3600? The key depends on whether we can stand firm at 3840 tonight. Want to know the direction in advance? The key to paying attention, I will draw pictures and dismantle them in the village tonight to help you seize this wave of opportunities! Want to know where the specific pressure level is stuck? If the support level cannot be held, will it be directly broken through? Come to my "village" - the "Key" flag hangs at the entrance of the village. Go into the village and have a cup of tea. I will show you the real-time position on the plate and teach you step by step how to fish meat from the sea of blood! After all... fighting alone, it is better to follow the key and take a shortcut! #ETH |
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