- XRP is predicted to rise by 244%, possibly reaching $5.50 to $6.00.
- Historical trends show smaller crashes each cycle, suggesting increasing stability.
- XRP will see a short-term pullback before resuming its gains.
Market analysis agency EGRAG Crypto believes that XRP still has a lot of room to rise before this bull market reaches its peak. He used the Gaussian channel to predict that the XRP price could rise by 244% from the current price, which would completely subvert the view that the bull market is over. Earlier this week, XRP, like most market assets, attempted to move higher but encountered resistance. So while other major assets have fallen into negative territory, the stock has managed to remain stable - up a modest 2% over the past seven days.
Gaussian channel prediction for EGRAG
In his latest decomposition EGRAG turns to Gaussian channels - a trend tracking tool. Direction and momentum - Use this to plan the long-term trend of XRP. He compared current market conditions to the bull market of 2017-2018, when XRP prices surged by around 3,700%, hitting around $0.39 before falling back. In comparison, the current cycle's gain is about 370%, which is only one-tenth of the gain back then. If history repeats itself, his model predicts another major rally for XRP, with prices possibly breaking out of the $5.50 to $6.00 range.
EGRAG disagrees with the “reduction”, noting that gains are typically smaller with each market cycle and that XRP was still up nearly 1,700% in the 2021 cycle, even as SEC proceedings were ongoing at the time. He believes that with the advancement of technology, wider application and improvement of market sentiment, XRP is likely to experience explosive growth in the next few months, with the price easily exceeding $5.
Loss reduction and signs of maturity
Looking back at the previous bear market, EGRAG discovered an interesting phenomenon – XRP’s plunge became smaller and smaller. The first sharp drop saw its value shrink by 96%, and the second drop by 86% showed a steady downward trend. Improvement If this trend continues, the next pullback may only reach about 76%, which shows that the market is maturing and becoming more resilient. Based on this pattern, he estimates that if XRP prices peak at $5-6, the bottom of the next bear market could be around $1.20-1.40.
Even in a more moderate scenario—say, XRP shares hit as high as $3.65—the EGRAG model predicts a pullback to around $0.87, which would still be consistent with a long-term recovery cycle. For investors buying below $0.50, this setup looks favorable regardless of short-term price action.
Short-term outlook mixed, long-term tone bullish
Other analysts share EGRAG's bullish view on the stock's long-term prospects, but they also see potential for volatility ahead. For example, DustyBC expects minor fluctuations in the future. In the early stage of correction, the third wave of XRP's rise has begun, and the next key target is between US$2.00 and US$2.40. Likewise, trader Casi Trades pointed to $2.68 as a resistance level that has stalled recent price action, and mentioned support areas around $2.42, $2.03, and $1.65. A break below $2.42 could extend the pullback to $1.65, which coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level - often seen as a strong reversal point.
Despite the uncertainty in the short term, the overall situation remains optimistic. EGRAG's Gaussian Channel model shows that if XRP's historical trend continues, its price may break through $5 or even higher. At present, the market generally believes that this rising cycle still has momentum. As the market matures, the structure of XRP is also constantly improving.
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