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 Currency friends, have you been heartbroken by the recent drop in ETH? Watching the K-line going all the way down, do you wake up in the middle of the night and have to take out your phone to check the market? Don't panic! As your dual blogger of "Emotional Soothing + Professional Analysis in the Currency Circle", today I will take you to understand the next trend of ETH clearly from the aspects of technology, chain, news, and "emotional game"!1. Technical aspect: No matter how aggressive the short sellers are, they still have to look at the "confidence of support"”Open the one-hour K-line, this wave of decline is indeed severe! The lower rail of the Bollinger Bands has almost been broken through, and the moving averages are collectively pushing downwards as agreed... But we veteran players in the currency circle all know that "the bottom is not clear when it falls, but the support level is our emotional anchor"! 3460-3480 This area is not only the lower track of the Bollinger Bands, but also the last "psychological defense line" for bulls in the near future - if this area can be stabilized, the arrogance of short sellers will have to be restrained. ； But if it does fall below, don't panic blindly. The early support near 3400 below is not a vegetarian. Looking at MACD again, although the green column is still there, it is already showing signs of shrinking! This is like "the short seller punches out, and his strength is almost exhausted." Whether it will rebound or continue to decline depends on whether the funds are strong enough. 2. Data on the chain: “The institution has not run away, retail investors should not be led into the ditch by their emotions.”Many fans asked me, "Is there big money secretly escaping?" I specifically checked the on-chain data and found that the inflow to exchanges has increased a bit, but the chips of institutional addresses have basically not moved! To put it bluntly, this wave of decline is more due to "retail investor sentiment", and institutions are still watching from the sidelines. Moreover, the number of active addresses has not decreased, which shows that although everyone is panicking, they are still "fighting for opportunities" in the market. At this time, the most taboo thing is "when others panic, you panic even more". We have to keep an eye on the movement of funds and don't be led by emotions! 3. News: “Long-term benefits are confidence, short-term fluctuations are emotions.”Have you paid attention to the technological progress of Layer2? The TVL (total locked value) of various expansion plans is still rising! This is like ETH's "invisible moat", which is stable in the long term. But what about the short term? Market sentiment is driven away by macro factors and market fluctuations. We must "look at long-term confidence and short-term sentiment separately." Don't doubt the value of ETH just because of short-term declines. 4. Trend + Emotional Prediction: "Weaknesses seek bottoms, but opportunities are hidden in fluctuations."”To put it bluntly, ETH is now an “emotional gaming field dominated by short sellers.” There is a high probability that the next step will be to "find the bottom in a weak position"”
remember! Fluctuations in the currency circle are normal, and emotions are both enemies and friends. Follow me, you can not only understand professional analysis, but also manage your emotions well. Let's seize opportunities steadily in this wave of ups and downs! Follow me quickly, and there will be more "emotional and professional" analysis of the currency circle in the future, which will take you from "fearful" to "stable"!  |
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