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Let me start with the conclusion: SOL price may reach 280 or even 330 in December this year or January next year at the latest! The large-level structure of SOL has not changed, and its adjustment will most likely end around 11.17-11.20. After the adjustment ends, the trend begins to rise. The exact end time will be updated later. In the short term, SOL is currently running into a key price range. If it can obtain effective support here, there is a probability of starting a wave of rising prices at the same level as 10.14-11.04. Note: Whether there can be an upward trend here will not affect the end time of the adjustment, but it will have an impact on the extent of the adjustment. The trend of currency prices is a comprehensive reflection of multiple variables. Every real-time information and trend will affect investors' behavior, and every behavior will, in turn, affect the trend. Therefore, pursuing absolute certainty in the process of change is itself a paradox. From a probability perspective, there is essentially no difference between fundamental investment, technical analysis, quantitative investment, etc., or any other investment school. They are all using their own set of methods and rules to pursue high probabilities. Because the outcome of all trades is uncertain, an isolated trade has no statistical relationship to the previous trade, the next trade, or any future trades. From the perspective of long-term value investment, some coins such as BTC, ETH, and SOL have emerged as leaders, but more coins have gone to zero. From a short-term technical perspective, there are countless success cases for currencies that have successfully broken through. Similarly, there are countless cases of failed breakthroughs. The same is true when buying the bottom (bottom reversal). For a trader without probabilistic thinking, no matter what your point of view is, he can find countless contrary cases to refute it. This is the most confusing part of trading, and it is also the psychological threshold that many traders cannot pass. It will give people the illusion that the results will be the same whether there are principles and standards. Only by establishing probabilistic thinking can you accept the fact that "there is no certainty in the market" without any disturbance in your heart. Only if you have the understanding that "there is no certainty in the market" will it be easier to get out of it and cut off losses when facing emergencies or when the trend is less than expected. Those who frequently talk about "it will definitely rise" and "how much a certain coin will definitely rise" have flawed thinking patterns and do not understand the nature of the market. One day they will suffer big losses because of this cognitive flaw.  The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. It is not appropriate to insist on creating, and update hot information on time every day. If you think it is good, follow it, watch it, like it, and thank you brothers and sisters for your support. |
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