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11.05|BTC/ETH daily market analysis

Vitalik 2025-11-5 14:08 22174人围观 ETH

(Today's market analysis) Today's market analysis2025.11.5 BTC current price: $102,100 intraday analysis 1️⃣ Structural interpretation successfully reached 99,000. The current sellers are strong, and any rebound in the short term will face huge selling p


(Today’s market analysis)

Today's market analysis

2025.11.5



BTC

Current price: $102,100



Intraday analysis

1️⃣ Structural interpretation

Successfully reaching 99000, the current seller power is strong, and any rebound in the short term will face huge selling pressure. The market needs to rebuild confidence.

2️⃣ Capital flow & on-chain & exchange dynamics


  • Capital flow (market "blood transfusion" situation): A sharp drop in prices is usually accompanied by a panic outflow of capital. While some investors may choose to buy at the lows, overall market sentiment has turned decidedly defensive.

  • On-chain data (trends of the "truck cards" of large players): From a broader market perspective, other major cryptocurrencies (such as XRP) have also seen selling by large players (whales). This suggests that the current selling pressure may not just be the behavior of retail investors, but the collective cautious behavior of market participants.

  • Exchange dynamics (market "sentiment" thermometer): Rapid price declines often result in the forced liquidation of highly leveraged long positions (i.e. liquidation). Although the specific data needs to be confirmed, it can be inferred that the market has experienced another wave of violent deleveraging process, which further amplified the downward momentum.


3️⃣ Ideas for placing orders within the day

Going with the trend, the rebound is bearish. If the rebound reaches 106000, we can try to enter the market with a short order. In a unilateral falling market, "no operation" itself is an excellent operation. Stay patient and wait for the market to give clear directional signals on its own.

4️⃣ Risk warning

  1. Risk of emotional contagion: Bitcoin, as the market leader, may trigger panic selling in the entire cryptocurrency market, forming a negative feedback loop.

  2. Technical selling pressure risk: After falling below the key support level, programmed sell orders and collateral liquidation may be triggered, resulting in an irrational inertial price decline.

  3. Liquidity risk: During periods of market panic, the depth of buying and selling orders may be unbalanced, resulting in excessive slippage of orders, or failure to complete orders at the ideal price.



[For reference only, not as investment advice]

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ETH

Current price: $3343.08



Intraday analysis

1️⃣ Structural interpretation

ETH failed to show an independent trend, and its short-term fate is closely tied to the trend of BTC. Until BTC stabilizes, it will be difficult for ETH to improve. Pay attention to the rebound after oversold.

2️⃣ Capital flow & on-chain & exchange dynamics

  • Capital flow: In the context of general market decline, funds tend to withdraw from riskier assets. As the cryptocurrency with the largest market value after BTC, ETH will naturally face pressure from capital outflows.

  • On-chain data: The bearish sentiment across the market is not unique. XRP, for example, faces similar technical risks (such as "death crosses") and selling pressure.

  • Exchange Updates: ETH is generally more volatile than BTC. In a falling market, this means that the decline may be larger and the liquidation situation may be more tragic, which will further intensify the panic in the market.


3️⃣ Ideas for placing orders within the day

A rebound is an opportunity for shorting. If the price can reach around 3480, we can try to short. Need to pay attention to the position. In the current environment, buying ETH at the bottom is an extremely risky behavior. If you want to buy the bottom, wait patiently for the bottom of the market to appear.

4️⃣ Risk warning

  1. High volatility risk: This is the inherent characteristic of ETH. In a downward trend, this means that it may fall more and faster than BTC, which is a great test for position management.

  2. Ecological associated risks: If the market continues to be depressed, it may affect Ethereum-based DeFi and other projects, leading to serial liquidation and other risks, which in turn will drag down the price of ETH.

  3. Leader dependence risk: The trend of ETH is highly correlated with BTC. If BTC fails to stop its decline, the buying power of ETH will be difficult to withstand the drag of the market, and the decline may be amplified.



[For reference only, not as investment advice]

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Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the personal views of Mr. Fengshen and does not constitute specific operational recommendations. If you operate based on this, you are responsible for your profits and losses. Investments are risky and you need to be cautious when entering the market.



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