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In the field of digital assets, the fluctuation of Ethereum (ETH) has always been the focus of the market. We focus on its 1-hour K-line chart, combined with the latest on-chain data and news, to objectively analyze the possibility of subsequent trends for you. The following analysis is for reference only. 1. Technical aspect: rebound kinetic energy accumulates, key points determine direction Judging from the 1-hour K-line chart, ETH recently fell to the key support level of 3055 and then rebounded quickly. The current price is running at the 3333 line. Bollinger Bands: The price is oscillating near the middle track, with the upper track pressure level at 3589 and the lower track support level at 3128. The range oscillation characteristics are obvious. Moving average system: MA7 and MA30 gradually turned away from the dead cross, EMA (7) and EMA (30) showed adhesion, and there is a strong demand for short-term moving average repair. Volume energy and MACD: During the decline stage, heavy volume releases selling pressure, and volume energy follows up in the early stage of the rebound. Although there has been a shrinkage recently, the MACD green column has shortened significantly, DIF and DEA are about to cross golden, and bullish momentum is accumulating. If it can effectively stand above 3350, ETH may launch an impact towards the Bollinger Band upper limit.； On the contrary, if it falls back under pressure, the 3200-3128 range will become an important support zone. 2. Data on the chain: chip structure optimization, ecological activity rebounding The latest on-chain monitoring shows: Exchange capital flow: ETH exchange inflows have decreased recently, long-term holders are reluctant to sell, and chip concentration has increased. Ecological activity: The amount of ETH locked up in the DeFi field remains high, the NFT market transaction activity has improved marginally, and the efficiency of capital circulation in the Ethereum ecosystem has improved, providing fundamental support for prices. 3. News: Multiple positive factors resonate, and long-term expectations heat up Ecological progress: After the Cancun upgrade, Layer 2 network throughput increased steadily and user costs decreased, further strengthening the attractiveness of ETH as an ecological value capture target. Institutional trends: Many leading asset management institutions have publicly recognized the long-term value of Ethereum, and market expectations for its ETF approval continue to ferment. Macroeconomic environment: Although there are fluctuations in U.S. inflation data, the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain the current interest rate policy, and market risk appetite has marginally recovered, creating a moderate external environment for risky assets. 4. Trend prediction: The long-short game intensifies, and key points are revealed. Comprehensive technical aspects, on-chain data and news aspects, ETH has the conditions to test the pressure level upward in the short term under multiple positive resonances. However, we need to be vigilant. If it fails to break through the chip-intensive area of 3350-3400, the price may fall back to test the support below. Investors can pay close attention to changes in volume and energy and breakthroughs in key points to cope with the long-short game in the market.  |
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