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Solana (SOL) trading price fluctuated in the range of $156-159. Price volatility has narrowed in the past 24 hours, with bulls and bears in a stalemate at key support areas, and the market is waiting for a directional breakthrough. 1. Core trend verification and technical analysis 1. Verification of yesterday’s views · The previous judgment that "150-157 US dollars is the key support" has been confirmed. After SOL bottomed at $146, it has received buying support in this range for two consecutive days and has not broken further. · However, the rebound was weaker than expected, and the price failed to effectively break through the resistance of $162-165, indicating that bull momentum still needs to accumulate. 2. Key technical signals · Support levels: $152-157 (structural demand zone), $146 (recent low). · Resistance levels: $162-165 (a breakthrough will confirm a short-term reversal), $176-180 (strong resistance at the 200-day moving average). · Form brewing: The 4-hour chart shows a potential double bottom structure, with the neckline at $165. If the volume breaks through, the target will be $178-185. 3. Divergence of indicators hints at market changes · Positive signal: RSI rebounded from the oversold zone (31.89) to 36.81, the MACD histogram narrowed, and the downward momentum weakened. · Risk signal: OBV (energy tide) is still suppressed by the downward trend line, and the trading volume has not been significantly enlarged, reflecting a lack of buying confidence. --- 2. The long-short game on news 1. Positive factors · ETF funds continued to inflow: Solana ETF had net inflows for 8 consecutive days, totaling US$323 million, including a single-day inflow of US$29.22 million on November 7. · Institutions are optimistic about the long-term: Bitwise CIO believes that SOL may increase its market share by 5 times in the future. The network handles an average of 70 million transactions per day, and its fundamental support is strong. 2. Negative pressure · Selling pressure on exchanges rebounded: On November 5, the exchange had a net inflow of 17,649 SOLs, a 106% reversal from the outflow on the previous day, and short-term selling pressure increased. · Macroeconomic sentiment dragged down: Bitcoin fell below the $102,000 mark, and mainstream cryptocurrencies generally fell, inhibiting SOL's independent rebound. --- 3. Operation strategy suggestions 1. Short term · Key defensive position: If the price falls back to 152-157 US dollars and a stabilizing K line appears (such as a long lower shadow line), you can try to go long with a light position, with the target of 162-165 US dollars. · Breakthrough strategy: Chase after the heavy volume breaks through $165, target $176-180, and set the stop loss below $160. · Bottom line for risk control: Stop losses if the price falls below $150 to prevent the risk of falling to $146. 2. Medium and long term · Layout in batches: Build a position in 3 batches in the range of 150-157 US dollars. If it falls to the 140-146 US dollars area, you can increase the position. · Holding period: 3-6 months, target 195-210 US dollars. · Stop loss benchmark: effectively suspend the plan if it falls below $140. 3. General risk control · Single position ≤ 10% of total funds, avoid high leverage. · Pay attention to the Solana network upgrade in November and whether BTC can recover $105,000. --- 4. Summary and Outlook SOL is in the bottom building stage in the short term, and the effectiveness of the support of $152-157 has become the key to the long and short victory. · If the support is maintained: with the inflow of ETF funds and the repair of technical indicators, the first target of rebound is $165, and the second target is $180. · If support is lost: it may drop to $140-146, but long-term fundamentals (high throughput, institutional positions) still support valuation repair. The analysis in this article is for reference only. Market risks change too much, so everyone needs to be safe and invest rationally. , more real-time guidance ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️  |
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