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Brothers, I am Tie Ying! SOL's current market situation is like a knife hanging above the head - is it piercing the sky upward, or piercing the ground downward? Without further ado, let’s get straight to the hard stuff. I’ll break it down for you from three dimensions and tell you how the market outlook will go and what retail investors should do!  Technical aspect: The long and short positions are strangled at 164, and the indicators have sounded the alarm! Layout and location: Pressure: The 170-175 area above is the area of heavy pressure. Today, it hit 170 and was quickly smashed back. This shows that the selling pressure is heavy and it is not easy to get over the previous high of 175. Line of life and death: Currently, 164 is the critical watershed, and 163 is the last line of defense that must not be lost! Once it falls below effectively, it means the bulls' defense line collapses. Support: If it falls below 163, the target below is directly at 158 or even the 155 support zone. Indicator signals: MACD: A "water cross" is formed below the 0 axis. This is a clear short-term bearish signal, indicating that the short momentum is dominant. Volume-price relationship: Volume can increase when prices fall, indicating a strong willingness to flee capital, which is not a good sign. Oversold rebound: Although the negative line shows oversold and there may be a technical rebound, do not blindly buy the bottom before the key position breaks. Oversold in the downward trend can become even more oversold!  Iron Eagle technical summary: The bears have a slight upper hand on the chart, and 163 is the life and death line that determines fate. News: A data storm is coming and the market will be in chaos! The news just came that the U.S. government shutdown has ended, but it left a mess: “"Bad data" bombardment: A large number of delayed economic data (such as September non-farm payrolls) are about to be released, while the key inflation data (CPI, PCE) for October may not be available at all or of extremely poor quality. Impact on the Federal Reserve: The Federal Reserve relies on data to eat, and what they are serving now may be "sour" or "undercooked", which will make their decision-making on interest rate cuts confusing. Impact on the currency circle: Extreme uncertainty! What the market fears most is uncertainty. Whether the data is good or bad is no longer important. What is important is that it cannot be seen clearly. This will lead to increased fluctuations in risky assets, and it will be difficult for SOL to be immune. Iron Eagle News Interpretation: The news is negative in the short term because it increases market confusion and panic, adding additional resistance to the rise of SOL.  Tie Ying’s personal views and market outlook strategies Based on the above, my point of view is very clear: Direction judgment: I tend to fall first and then rise. In the context of confusing news and bearish technical conditions, the market is more likely to choose to test the support strength of 163 downward first. If it can hold up here and form an obvious bullish signal (such as a long lower shadow line, yang and yin), then there will be capital to counterattack 170 in the future. The probability of a direct V-shaped reversal is small. Retail investor survival guide: Bulls (bullish): Want to buy the dip? Hold it! Be sure to wait for the price to show a clear stop signal near 163 (for example, the 1-hour K-line closes with a long lower shadow or a big positive line) before stepping in with a small position, and place the stop loss below 162. The target is 168-170. Short side (bearish): If the price effectively falls below 163 (for example, the 1-hour K-line entity closes below), you can follow the trend to pursue the short position, with the first target of 158 and the second target of 155.  The wait-and-see faction (the first choice for beginners): Tonight’s market situation is like a fight between gods and gods, and staying still is the best move! When the direction is completely clear, either break through 170 to chase the longs, or fall below 163 to chase the shorts. Don’t stay in the middle and get beaten. Finally, I would like to send you a message: Trading is not about gambling, and preserving principal is always the first priority. Whether 164 is made of paper or made of iron, the market has the final say. We just have to keep up with the pace and eat meat and drink soup! #US government shutdown If you don’t know the specific entry time and exit point, as well as fans who are holding positions, you can pay attention to the Iron Eagle homepage. Iron Eagle will announce the daily currency, entry point, and exit time in the Iron Eagle circle 24 hours a day! ! !  |
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