SOL plummeted 45%! Chief Investment Officer: Don’t dare to buy now, you will earn less in ten years

Anatoly 2025-11-17 17:04 54402人围观 SOL

The recent market situation in the currency circle has really confused people - Solana (SOL) has just experienced a round of "bloodbath", from US$253 to US$135, a drop of 45%； The SOL government bonds also collapsed by 40%, and the total net assets of the

The recent market trend in the currency circle has really confused people - Solana (SOL) has just experienced a round of "bloodbath", falling directly from US$253 to US$135, a drop of 45%.； The SOL government bonds also collapsed by 40%, and the total net assets of the entire ecosystem shrank from US$3.5 billion to US$2.1 billion, equivalent to a loss of US$1.4 billion overnight.

Some people left the market and cursed, while others stared at the K-line and shivered, but Parker White, chief investment officer of DFDV, said harshly: "How is this a loss? This is an opportunity to make $10,000 less in ten years. ” This sounds mysterious, so let’s find out today – is SOL’s recent decline a pitfall or an opportunity?

Let’s first understand: Why did SOL continue to plummet when there was money coming into the ETF?

The most confusing thing is that the weekly trading volume of the US spot SOL ETF is US$46.3 million. There is obviously an inflow of funds, but the price is getting lower and lower. The core reason is one: the hole for capital outflow is too big, and the inflow of money cannot fill it.

The data doesn’t lie: Since October 10, nearly $3 billion has been lost in the SOL market. It's like adding water to a pool, but there's a big hole in the bottom of the pool. The water is running faster than the water is being added. Can the water level keep from falling?

To make matters worse, SOL’s digital asset library (DAT) has also fallen out of sync. The capital inflow in the fourth quarter has visibly decreased. In the second week of November, SOL DAT only received 2 million, and there was zero inflow in the government bonds. Supply and demand in the entire market are completely out of balance, and a decline is inevitable.

Chief Investment Officer’s reverse logic: Now is the time for “big discounts””

In the face of the plunge, DFDV itself also suffered losses - the value of its positions fell from US$507 million to US$310 million, evaporating nearly US$200 million. But Parker White felt that "the opportunity has come" and even planned to expand the scale of investment. Where is his confidence?

There are only two core logics, one looks at the long-term trend and the other looks at the current price:

Long-term: The digital economy cannot avoid SOL. He bluntly said that "the world will only become more digital and will never look back." Solana will definitely occupy a large share of the global digital value transfer market. According to his prediction, the price of SOL will reach at least US$10,000 in the next ten years. The current price of US$135 is simply the "floor price".
Current: Prices are severely discounted. The market value to net value ratio (mNAV) of all SOL financial companies is now either equal to 1 or lower than 1, which means "the market value does not reflect the true value." In this case, the holding company is likely to sell off the stock to buy back SOL, which will in turn prop up the price.

He also specifically mentioned 2028: “From now to the end of 2028, I look forward to greater market volatility. The greater the volatility, the greater the opportunity for companies in the SOL ecosystem to increase their earnings, and the greater the opportunity for long-term investors to find bargains. ” The translation of this saying is - the harder you fall now, the more stable you will make in the future.

Opportunity or trap? The key is to look at this signal

Someone must have asked: “What if there is no end to the decline? ” In fact, the market has already given a "stop signal" judgment standard - a rebound in capital has been achieved.

At present, SOL's "realized capital limit" has been falling, which is direct proof of capital outflows. But as long as this indicator starts to rebound, it means that money is starting to run back, and the price of SOL will most likely pick up accordingly.

As for whether the 2.1 million SOLs held by Parker White will be sold? He did not say it explicitly, but emphasized that "even if the market is down, they will find ways to stabilize the market value to net value ratio" - the subtext is that they will not cut meat at the bottom, but may take the opportunity to increase positions.

Finally, tell the truth

The currency circle has always been about "others are fearful and others are greedy", but the premise is that you must understand the core value of the target. SOL's current decline is not due to a major ecological problem, but a trap caused by short-term funds running away.

If you believe in the long-term trend of the digital economy and the ecological potential of Solana, then the current price of $135 may really be a rare opportunity to get on board in ten years.； If you only focus on short-term fluctuations, you'd better take control first and don't be washed away by the shock.

Remember, those who make big money in the currency circle are always those who dare to stand up in panic. Do you think this wave of SOL is an opportunity? Chat in the comment section.

If anyone is confused due to market fluctuations, does not know how to deal with the situation, or feels that he has been misled during the operation, welcome to communicate!