BTC 11 consecutive declines: Air Force holds conference! ETH Wulang fell off the cliff and fell into the bear market, and copycats were jumping in the ruins!

Nakamoto 2025-11-24 08:15 88791人围观 BTC

QQ: 3107757292 There is no charge to enter the community skirt, do not promote exchanges, do not follow recommended links. The recent market situation can be summed up in one sentence - "It is either falling, or preparing to continue falling. ”BTC has had

QQ: 3107757292

There is no charge to enter the community, no exchanges, no recommended links

The recent market situation can be summed up in one sentence - "It is either falling, or it is preparing to continue falling. ”

BTC has had 11 consecutive daily negative lines. This trend is like being pushed to the ground by short sellers and being dragged along. The three moving averages have also begun to "accelerate and press downward." The overall temperament is just one word: ruthless.

No matter you are an old gun or a newbie, you will always have a feeling: "Does this car have no brakes?" ”But in fact, the situation is approaching a critical stage: it is necessary to explore the bottom in order to end this period of decline.

BTC: The Air Force held a conference, and the bottom has not yet been explored, but don’t chase shorts.

1) Why hasn’t this wave of decline stopped yet? (The indicator has been empty for three consecutive times)

RSI and MFI are still firmly in the short range
CCI deviates sharply from the zero axis → short momentum is still amplifying
Trend structure: a deep bottom must be found to end the downward trend

Therefore, the core of the market is: the short sellers have not finished fighting yet, and the rebound can only be regarded as an intermission.

4-hour level: typical unilateral decline

The current 4-hour structure is a "textbook-style unilateral decline", and there is only one way to change it: a rebound that breaks through 93500 can reverse the rhythm. If it does not reach this point, it is all a counterattack to compensate for the decline.

Where is the real strong support?

The key to this wave of BTC is a large range: 74000–86000: the low point of the previous large range → a strong support area that will not be broken through in one step

Especially:

83000–86400 = golden pick-up zone
Stop loss: below 83000

This is the kind of position where "if you don't dare to pick it up, others will copy it quietly". Why dare you accept it?

Because: the starting and falling point is 93100, the decline has been 6000 points, and today's rebound of 2400-3000 points is a normal recovery. Therefore, if the price is lower than 86000, the probability of taking profit is very high!

The most important thing to say: Never chase short positions at this position. If he chases him again, he will put knives in his hands.

ETH: The five-wave structure is broken, it is confirmed that bulls have turned into bears, and we can only fight back.

ETH has hit a new low, and its structure has completely deteriorated:

Wave 1 and wave 4 coincide → the five-wave structure fails
Determine the rhythm of entering a bear market
There will be only a rebound, but no trend reversal.

To sum up in one sentence: ETH is now "will rebound, but will not reverse".

ETH operation strategy (clear)

1) Channel structure: bullish falling wedge → just operate within the channel

✔ 2768 There are many ambushes on the left

Defense: 2700
Goals: 2836/2873
Tail warehouse: 2941

✔ 2959 Ambush on the left

Defense: 3059
Goals: 2886/2840
Tail warehouse: 2790

2) The limit range of rebound during the day

2926–2960 = rebound suppression area, anything above 3000 is a top warning.

If you can't get past 2960, then it is the top of the 1000-point band from 2960-2000.

Shanzhai: The one who fell the longest survived first.

Copycats are very strange recently: every time BTC drops sharply, some copycats will suddenly explode because: it has been falling for too long, BTC is expected to be close to support, and funds are looking for an emotional breakthrough.

Specific performance:

STRK: Calling for orders is still exciting
ZEC: I can still maintain my mood by shouting and pulling.
BTC/ETH futures OI hits a new high → indicating that Leek still has money

These rallies are not bull markets, just "emotional test explosions." A true bull market depends on BTC stabilizing, not skyrocketing.

Sectors that have been trending recently:

Binance 2024 Launchpool Project (Falled into the Mine)
Mainstream Meme is starting to move
Skyrocketing→Plummeting→Coins that have been plummeting for several months (GRASS, FARTCOIN, etc.)

A very critical point: BTC dropped from 90,000 to 87,000, but the copycats did not collectively break a new low.

Explanation: The mood has not collapsed, the sector is resilient, and funds are starting to choose varieties instead of following them.

Your personal position did not suffer a big loss during this BTC plunge. This is actually the logic.

The article ends here. I will do a more detailed analysis in the communication group. If you want to join my circle

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