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Brothers, I am Tie Ying. At 9:30 tonight, the US non-agricultural data and unemployment benefits data are about to detonate the market. The ETH one-hour K-line is stuck above the middle track of the Bollinger Band and is oscillating. Both the bulls and the shorts are blazing swords! Is it a violent pull to break through the previous high, or is it a crash into the abyss? Tie Ying combines news and technical aspects to help you break down the market outlook, attaching his personal hard-core opinions and retail investor operation strategies!  Technical aspect: ETH one-hour K-line key signals Current position: ETH is oscillating around $3,005. The middle track of the Bollinger Band forms short-term support, but there is heavy pressure above! The extreme level of 3248 and the previous high of 3399 are strong pressure areas. The recent strong pressure levels of 3104 and 3167 are like "ceilings", and a huge amount of kinetic energy is needed to break through. Indicator warning: MACD/RSI/KDJ: The risk of the yellow and white lines turning from a golden cross to a dead cross has intensified, MFI capital flows downward, shrinking volume indicates weak buying, and the overbought to oversold signal turns red! Bollinger Bands and Moving Averages: If the mid-track support fails, the strong support below 2873 will be tested. If it falls below, the target will be the 2800 psychological mark! Tie Ying’s comment: The technical outlook is bearish in the short term, with shrinking volume and divergence of indicators showing the weakness of bulls. Unless there is good stimulus, it will be difficult to change the downward trend of shock!  News: Non-agricultural data becomes the “nuclear button”” At 9:30 tonight, the US non-farm employment data and unemployment benefits data for September will be released! If there is a huge deviation between the expected value and the actual value, the market will explode: Scenario 1: Big profits (Non-agricultural products are far worse than expected) If the unemployment rate soars above 4.3% or non-farm employment plummets (if the announced value is <22,000), expectations of a Fed rate cut will rise, the US dollar will dive, and ETH will pull violently! Trend prediction: directly break through the 3104 pressure level, target 3167 to suppress it, and even challenge the previous high of 3247! However, it should be noted that the general trend of the market is still bearish, and the rebound may be "short-lived". Scenario 2: Big negative (non-agricultural products are much better than expected) If the unemployment rate drops below 4.3% or non-farm employment surges, the Fed's hawkish expectations will strengthen, the dollar will strengthen, and ETH will be bloodbathed! Trend prediction: It falls below the strong support of 2873 and accelerates towards the abyss of 2800! The current market trend is inherently bearish, and negative news may trigger panic selling. Scenario 3: Data is bland (limited impact) If the data is in line with expectations, the market will return to technical dominance and continue to fluctuate and fall, with the range looking at 3000-2900.  Tie Ying’s personal opinion: Be wary of “when all good things come out, bad things will happen”! Although the big profits may reverse the decline in the short term, the overall structure of ETH is bearish, the pressure above is intensive, and the volume and energy are insufficient to make a sustained breakthrough. If the data is bullish, it is recommended to reduce positions while the price rises. ； If it is negative, stop the loss decisively! Key logic: Cryptocurrencies are highly interconnected with U.S. stocks. If non-agricultural data stimulates changes in Fed policy expectations, fluctuations will be amplified. However, ETH's own technical weakness is difficult to change the general trend.  Survival Guide for Retail Investors: Don’t be a “leek”! Pre-data strategy: wait and see with light positions, set a stop loss (such as below 2980), and avoid gambling with heavy positions! Response after data: If there is a sharp rise: take profit in batches, do not chase higher above 3100! If it plummets: You can try to buy bottoms near 2800, but stop losses strictly. Long-term reminder: Novices, don’t take orders! Pay attention to Bollinger Band breakthroughs and changes in volume and energy, and Tieying will prompt opportunities in the community in real time. The final message: The market is destined to be bloody tonight! Follow Tie Ying to help you avoid pitfalls and eat meat! #Trump cancels tariffs on agricultural products. If you don’t know the specific entry time and exit point, as well as fans who are holding positions, you can follow the Iron Eagle homepage. Iron Eagle will announce the daily currencies, entry points, and exit times in Iron Eagle Town 24 hours a day! ! !  |
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