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ETH surged to 2976 and then fluctuated! Is 2960 a charging point or a staged top?

Vitalik 2025-11-27 01:44 81727人围观 ETH

Family members! Just when ETH had just touched the intraday high of 2976.61 and was about to hit 3000, it suddenly started a "small shock" near 2968! But don’t panic. This is not a stalling of the market at all. It is clearly the main force’s accumulating

Families! Just when ETH had just touched the intraday high of 2976.61 and was about to hit 3000, it suddenly started a "small shock" near 2968! But don’t panic. This is not a stalling of the market at all. It is clearly the main force’s accumulating action after charging higher. It is highly likely that it will break through 2980 and hit the 3000 mark next! As a "market watcher" who has just finished watching the 1-hour real-time K-line, today I will use the latest data to find out the rhythm of ETH!




1. The fundamentals are still the king: deflation + expansion locks the long-term logic


Don’t be blinded by short-term fluctuations! The fundamentals of ETH have long been “ridiculously hard”:
  • Deflationary side: After the London upgrade, an average of 10,000 ETHs are destroyed every day, and more than 3.65 million ETHs are destroyed annually. The deflationary attribute is getting stronger and stronger.；
  • Expansion side: After the launch of Layer 2, gas fees plummeted by 83%, TPS rushed to 3000+, DeFi leaders such as Uniswap have all migrated, and user transaction costs are less than 0.1 US dollars.；
  • Supply and demand side: ETH accounts for 65% of DeFi TVL, but the stock of exchanges has fallen to a three-year low, with 40 million ETH being pledged and locked (accounting for 33% of the total supply). The pattern of "more buying and less selling pressure" means that short-term corrections will not make waves at all!

2. Technical revelation: 2925-2905 is the "golden support zone"”


Look at the key signals of the 1-hour real-time K-line (the data are all from the chart you gave):
  1. Price and moving average: The current price of 2968.75 is firmly above MA7 (2933.25) and MA30 (2925.46). Both moving averages are upward, and the bullish trend has not been broken.；
  2. BOLL band: The price has broken through the BOLL upper track (UB=2959.12), which is a short-term strong range.；
  3. MACD indicator: DIF (13.28) is above DEA (10.52), and the MACD column (5.51) is positive when short-term bull momentum is still being released.

The conclusion is clear: 2925 corresponding to MA30 is the first support, and the recent low of 2905 is a strong defensive position. As long as it does not fall below 2905, the next impact on 2980 or even 3000 will be a "breakthrough after accumulation"!

3. Increased external catalysts: the Federal Reserve + supervision are all sending assists


The most critical "east wind" is still blowing:
  • The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 75 basis points this year, and there is a high probability of another 25 basis points reduction by the end of the year. Loose funds are pouring into risky assets. Bitcoin ETFs have attracted US$70 billion. ETH, as the "second brother of crypto", must be a key allocation target for institutions.；
  • Regulation has turned friendly: the United States allows banks to do crypto custody, the European Union's MiCA bill has been implemented to regulate the market, and institutional funds are queuing up to enter the market. This market wave is not a "short-term pulse" at all!

Conclusion: Gather your strength now, the pullback is the opportunity to get on board


My judgment is very straightforward: ETH will first look at the 3000 integer mark in the short term, and the subsequent impact of 3100 + is a reasonable expectation! There is no need to chase higher. Waiting for the pullback to the 2950-2960 range is a very cost-effective entry point. Don’t wait for it to break through 3000 before taking a shot!




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