BTC86000 seesaw! Can CPI break the deadlock in the evening?

Nakamoto 2025-12-22 04:23 79764人围观 BTC

Friends who stayed up late last night to keep an eye on the market must understand! Waller's speech directly sent the currency circle on a "roller coaster", which made my palms sweat~ At the beginning, he said that the job market was "particularly weak" a

Friends who stayed up late last night and watched the market must understand! Waller's speech directly sent the currency circle on a "roller coaster", which made my palms sweat~ At the beginning, he said that the job market was "particularly weak" and supported continuing to cut interest rates back to neutral levels. As soon as this news came out, expectations for interest rate cuts were immediately filled, and cryptocurrencies collectively reveled! Bitcoin suddenly rushed to around 90350, and Ethereum also rebounded to 3030. At that time, I thought it was going to break through the 90,000 mark, but then he turned around and added, "Don't be aggressive, just lower it slowly" - this was too far from the "big interest rate cut" that the market expected. It instantly triggered "buy expectations, sell facts", and the currency price immediately turned around and dived!

BTC fell all the way from 90350 to 85300, a sudden drop of more than 5,000 dollars. ETH was even worse. It lost all its gains during the day and still fell. It touched as low as 2790, and the 3000 mark was completely lost. Now BTC is slowly correcting around 86100. I stared at the market and found that it was just stuck between the middle track and the lower track of the daily line. The range was getting narrower and narrower. It was obvious that both bulls and bears were gathering strength. The technical aspect looks quite contradictory: the daily line and the four-hour moving average are both crosses downwards, which is extremely stressful. However, the hourly line MACD shrinks, and there is some demand for a rebound. However, the momentum is pitifully weak. It is estimated that it will continue to fluctuate weakly after a rebound. Today, let's see if it can touch the four-hour middle track of 87500 in the white market. If it can't get through, we still have to grind later. ； The 90,000 mark is now a tough hurdle, and it is too difficult to get over in the short term. I feel that the support below 85000 is not reliable. If it falls below due to heavy volume, it will most likely go to 84000 to find support.

Ethereum is currently trading sideways near 2830. Since it lost the 3000 mark, this position has become a strong resistance, and it is not that easy to get back up. On the daily chart, it is also swinging between the middle track and the lower track, the moving average is tightly crossed, MACD shorts are still weakly increasing volume, and the downward trend has not changed. Fortunately, the hourly MACD has shrunk and the RSI has pulled back from the oversold zone. There should be a small rebound in the short term. Today, we will first see if 2900 can withstand it at the top. Don’t have high expectations for the 3000 mark for the time being. ； We have to keep an eye on 2780 for support. If it breaks, the previous low of 2700 will suffer.

I personally feel that today's white market is a weak rebound correction, don't expect a big market, the real highlight will be in the evening - the European Central Bank interest rate decision, US CPI and initial request data, these three data together will definitely give the market a direction. Now whether it is BTC or ETH, they are all waiting for the news to catalyze. Don’t chase blindly in operations. Keep an eye on the key points first, wait until the resistance is established or fall below the support before taking advantage of the trend. It is always safe to play it safe~

Finally, let’s sort out the core points again to make it easier for everyone to keep an eye on the market:

✅ BTC short-term support: 85000, 84000

Resistance: 87500, 89000, 90000

✅ ETH short-term support: 2780, 2700

Resistance: 2900, 3000