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Real-time news: SOL/USD reported at US$87.39, a 24-hour increase of 0.22%, rebounding 2.2% from yesterday's low of US$85.50, with trading volume reaching US$3.7 billion. 98e7bb This reflects the digestion of selling pressure, the gradual dominance of bulls, and the recovery of short-term sentiment. Yesterday’s review: On February 26, SOL opened at US$88.00, touched US$90.65 in early trading, then pulled back, hitting a low of US$85.50, and closed at US$86.50, an increase of -1.6%. The trading volume is moderate at US$5.8 billion, the MACD golden cross is beginning to appear, the hourly chart engulfs the positive line, and the short momentum weakens. Today’s trend: After opening at $86.55, it tested a high of $88.20 and consolidated at $87.39 in the afternoon. The hourly chart held firm at the 50 EMA ($86), and the RSI rose to 45 (oversold rebound). The intraday fluctuation was 2.8%, the trading volume increased by 10%, and it held the $85 level. If it stabilizes at $87, it can continue to attack $89 ； It fell below $85 and retested $83. Technical analysis: Bullish signals strengthen, upward channel solidifies Trend: Breaking through the downward channel, away from the 200-day moving average ($85), the middle track of the Bollinger Bands moved up to $89, and volatility stabilized. Indicators: RSI45 picks up, CCI+35 turns positive, and the buy signal is dominant. Support is $85-86 and resistance is $88-90. Breaking 90 US dollars, it can reach 94-97 US dollars ； Otherwise, $85 as tested. risk: Short positions are high, OI dropped slightly by $5.1 billion, negative funding rates turned positive, and liquidation was prevented in case of a correction. News catalyst: Double benefits for institutions and ecology Solana Pacific Backbone infrastructure advances, optimizing Asia-Pacific low latency and supporting DeFi and staking. The value of RWA reached a new high of US$1.7 billion, DeFi TVL rose to US$6.5 billion, and weekly DEX transactions reached US$15.7 billion. ETF inflows reached US$30.86 million in a single day, bringing the total to over US$1 billion. ； Firedancer upgrades TPS to exceed 100,000. Michael Saylor praised Solana as the "King of Digital Credit" and USDC dominates liquidity. Bitcoin rebounds by $65k, spillover helps SOL ； The Fed's easing expectations have solidified the foundation, and the influence of hackers has faded. Verify previous analysis: Upward forecast is accurate and long-term potential is revised upwards The previous article stated that "the upward channel is solid, bulls dominate 65%, the target is $95 at the end of February, and the potential is $180 in 2026." It actually stayed at $87 on the 27th. Institutional inflows and RWA catalysis exceeded expectations, close to $90, with an accuracy of 80% - the resistance assessment was accurate, but the immediate boost from ETFs was underestimated. Consistent with NewsBTC’s view of “$100 hopes to strengthen”, the current $88 test is verified, and the probability of $94 in the short term is 75% ； Delphi’s “Year of Solana 2026” is more optimistic, with potential rising to $200. Operational judgment and suggestions: Long-term layout and strict risk control Judgment: SOL rebound continues, and bulls have a 70% chance of winning. Breaking $88 tonight, confirmation of upside ； Otherwise, wait and see the dynamics of RWA and ETF. The target is US$92 at the end of February, and the potential is US$190 in 2026 (depending on the deepening of the ecology). suggestion: Buy: Add to position at a low of $86, target $88/94, stop loss $84 (risk reward 1:2). Hold: Partial take profit of the existing position is $88, and the remaining stop loss is moved to $85, waiting for USDC to catalyze. Sell: Reduce positions after breaking $85, target $83； Shorts are risk averse. Position: Control 3% of total funds, combined with BTC>65k USD. SOL has accelerated its recovery by leveraging institutional advantages and ecological upgrades, and its long-term prospects are bright. Monitor carefully and avoid chasing prices. Note that the market is unpredictable and changes frequently, so be safe. This article does not constitute any investment advice and is for reference only. More real-time guidance🛰Wa-J25 |
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