"ETH is being rubbed on the 'life and death line'! 29 hours later, the Fed's 'interest rate cut knife' will be slashed. Is 4400 the bottom or a pit? Magic strategy: Tonight, you can either buy the bottom and make a fortune, or cut the meat and run away!"

• Look at the market: ETH is stuck between 4490-4530, the 1-hour K-line is straighter than a straight line, the trading volume has shrunk to 'ground volume', the RSI is stuck at 45 (neither up nor down), and the MACD fast and slow lines are glued like 502 glue - the market doesn't even have the strength to 'play dead'!
• But don’t be fooled by appearances! The Federal Reserve's decision 29 hours later was a 'nuclear bomb-level' event in the crypto community this year!
• If interest rates are cut beyond expectations (for example, to 4.25% or even lower): the US dollar will be flooded with liquidity, funds will rush into the crypto market like mad dogs, and ETH will most likely take advantage of this opportunity to break through 4540, or even touch 4670 (short orders beware of being 'headshot'! ).
• If the interest rate cut is less than expected (for example, maintaining 4.5% or only cutting 20 basis points): the market will interpret it as a 'hawkish signal', the US dollar will strengthen, and ETH will be hit below 4400, or even fall all the way to 4350 (hurry up for long orders! Set a stop loss! ).

• Technical aspect: The spring is pressed to the extreme!  ETH has been trading sideways for 12 consecutive hours, the Bollinger Bands are so narrow that they can pass through needles, and the volatility has dropped to freezing point - this form means either skyrocketing or plummeting, with no middle option!
• News: The Federal Reserve is the 'master switch'!  The pricing power of global risk assets (including ETH) is now entirely in the hands of the Federal Reserve. A 25 basis point interest rate cut is a 'passing mark', a 50 basis point rate cut is an 'exceeding expectation', and no rate cut is a 'disaster'.
• Financial aspect: Whales are holding back their big moves!  Recently, the number of large ETH addresses has not moved for three consecutive days, indicating that large funds are also waiting for news. Once the direction is clear, follow-up orders will come like a tide - 4400 is the 'psychological bottom line', if it falls below it, it will collapse!

Tonight's battle guide

1. 
   Radical retail investors: short the current price of 4,500, strictly set a stop loss of 4,550, and a target of 4,400. If the price encounters support and rebounds during the decline, you can consider closing some positions to lock in profits when it is close to 4400.
   
2. 
   Robust retail investors: Wait for the price to pull back to around 4530 before entering the market to go short. Also set a stop loss of 4550 and a target of 4400. This can reduce certain risks and increase the probability of profit.