Dogecoin may be stable, but there is a hidden danger, so be careful! What should retail investors do? Look over!

ELON 2025-10-13 12:12 46982人围观 DOGE

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The trend of Dogecoin in the past few days has been really exciting. It rose by 7% on a weekly basis, and then dropped back to 7% within a day, which is like riding a roller coaster. Although the short-term fluctuations are large, I judge from the data and graphics that this round of correction may be almost over. However, there is an obvious risk that we cannot ignore.

Big money is quietly entering the market

I found a key signal: those medium-sized large investors holding 10 million to 100 million Dogecoins are adding to their positions recently.

Their holdings increased from 24.2 billion coins on October 2 to 24.33 billion coins；
In total, approximately 130 million coins were purchased, equivalent to US$32 million.
A buy-in of this magnitude is no small matter. In the past, every time this kind of "smart money" continued to enter the market, Dogecoin was often followed by a rebound. This shows that someone recognizes the value of Dogecoin at this position and is quietly building a position.

A hidden danger: The selling pressure may not be over yet

But another set of data makes me a little worried: the proportion of Dogecoin in exchanges has risen to 17.7%, close to a historical high.

What does this mean? This shows that there are still a lot of coins left untouched on the exchange, and you can throw them into the market at any time if you want to sell them. I am deeply impressed. Similar situations have occurred before, and then they all fell sharply:

In April last year, the exchange stock reached 15.57%, and then Dogecoin fell by 55%.；
In December last year, the stock rose to 17.1%, and the price fell by 65% within half a year.
So my point is: Although some people are buying, the potential selling pressure is not small. Both the long and short sides are still pulling back and forth, so we cannot be blindly optimistic at this time.

Key position: $0.246 cannot be broken

Judging from the trend chart, $0.246 is an important support. As long as it does not fall below, I think there is a chance of a short-term rebound to $0.257 or even $0.27. Strong resistance is near $0.278.

But if that hidden danger breaks out - that is, people on the exchange start selling collectively, causing the support to fall, the price may go down to $0.234, or even $0.226. The trend may then weaken.

To sum up: I personally think that this wave of adjustment of Dogecoin is coming to an end, but we must keep an eye on the signal of exchange stock. There are opportunities, but there are also risks. Only by being prepared can you stay stable.