BTC cash cross signal, is it a trap or an opportunity?

Nakamoto 2025-10-24 12:56 52763人围观 BTC

I just took a look at BTC. The price was hovering around US$109,888. It increased by 0.87% today, with an amplitude of 1.23%, which is considered a small fluctuation. But combined with the latest U.S. CPI data and hourly technical aspects, the market is

I just took a look at BTC and found that the price was hovering around $109,888. It rose 0.87% today, with an amplitude of 1.23%, which is a small fluctuation. But combined with the latest U.S. CPI data and hourly technical aspects, the market is undercurrent. Let me talk to you in plain English. Remember, don’t panic, there is always something going on in the market!

News: Inflation in the United States is on the rise again, and the Federal Reserve has a big problem, which has a big impact on the currency circle.

U.S. CPI data for September broke the news that the overall and core inflation annual rates may be close to 3%, which is significantly higher than the Federal Reserve's 2% target. To put it simply, prices are rising sharply, and the Fed may be more worried that inflation cannot be suppressed and that there is no chance of lowering interest rates in the short term, and it may even become more hawkish. This is not a good thing for risky assets like BTC, because high interest rates will cause funds to flow to safe places such as the bond market, and the currency market will easily come under pressure. But thinking about it conversely, BTC is sometimes used as an inflation hedging tool. If inflation continues, some funds may seek safe havens, so don’t be blindly bearish. The key depends on the Fed's subsequent stance, and now the market is waiting and watching.

Technical aspect: BTC hourly chart shows a cash cross, the support and pressure levels are clear, and there is potential for short-term success.

The BTC 1-hour K-line shows that the price is struggling near $109,888, but the technical indicators have bright spots: the yellow and white double lines have a golden cross trend below the 0 axis, which is a short-term bullish signal. The support and pressure levels are also very clear, with the bottom support at $103,000, the second support at $106,000, and the target support at $108,000-109,000. ； The rebound pressure above is $111,690, the key level is $109,889.76, and the target pressure range after the breakthrough is $113,600-115,900. The buy and sell order shows a slightly positive number for the ratio, indicating that the bulls have a slight advantage, but the volume is not large, so be wary of false breakthroughs.

My point of view: There are too many short-term fluctuations, but the news is a variable, so retail investors should not waste time.

Taken together, I think BTC may fluctuate upward in the short term, with the technical golden cross supporting a rebound, but high inflation in the news is a stumbling block. The market is now like a tug-of-war: technical rebound momentum on one side and macro pressure on the other. My opinion is, don’t chase the ups and downs, the correction is the opportunity. There is still room for upside ； But if the inflation data exceeds expectations, it will be negative

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