The linkage between gold and Bitcoin (BTC)

Nakamoto 2025-10-25 12:23 32109人围观 BTC

Dreamer crypto community was founded in 2020 and is committed to creating a professional and valuable multi-dimensional empowering technology teaching community to help you avoid detours and move forward smoothly! ▶[Linkage between gold and BTC]◀Gold has

The Dreamer encryption community was founded in 2020 and is committed to creating a professional and valuable multi-dimensional empowering technology teaching community to help you avoid detours and move forward smoothly! ▶[The linkage between gold and BTC]◀

Gold has risen by 40% in the past five months. The last time it rose so sharply was from March to August 2020, when it rose by 43%, and then entered a period of more than three years of volatility.

Although BTC rose by 168% from March to August 2020, far exceeding gold, it actually did not rise much compared to before 312, which meant that the 312 waterfall was repaired. The star of the show from March to August is gold.

But after gold peaked and entered a period of shock, BTC rose from about 10,000 to 6,000,000 in one breath!

Now it seems that gold will enter a period of shock after reaching the top. We don’t have to worry about it and say that BTC will definitely rise to a certain number of times. But at least there will be a good bull market next, and it is too early to call a bear now.

In 2020 and 21, there was a lot of water. This time it is also in the interest rate cutting cycle + the Federal Reserve stopped shrinking its balance sheet. Today, the U.S. debt exceeds 38 trillion, and the amount of water in the market is not small. The fact that big funds like gold have risen like this this year speaks for itself of a big problem.

The crypto market is in a period of shock now, be patient and wait for it to finish.——

All bulls need to do now is wait!

1. Waiting for the U.S. government to resume operations

2. Waiting for the Sino-US tariff incident to come to fruition

At present, the probability of an interest rate cut in October is relatively high, and interest rate easing is a basic benefit. As long as the U.S. government resumes operations, the release of liquidity will naturally make the market more active.

The market will eventually go up.

▷ Market Dynamics ‖ Data Interpretation ◁

1. The Ethereum spot ETF had a net outflow of US$18.77 million yesterday, and only BlackRock ETHA recorded a net inflow:

On October 22, Eastern Time, the total net outflow of Ethereum spot ETFs reached US$18.7729 million. As of now, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is US$25.815 billion, accounting for approximately 5.66% of the total market value of Ethereum, and the historical cumulative net inflow has reached US$14.574 billion.

2. Bitcoin spot ETF had a net outflow of US$101 million yesterday, and BlackRock IBIT bucked the trend and had an inflow of US$73.63 million:

On October 22, Eastern Time, the total net outflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs was US$101 million. As of now, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is US$146.270 billion, accounting for approximately 6.81% of the total market value of Bitcoin, and the cumulative historical net inflow has reached US$61.874 billion.

3. Tether CEO: The number of users of USDT, the world’s largest stable currency, has exceeded 500 million!

This number represents 500 million real users, not just Tether wallets, indicating that its stablecoin is currently used by approximately 6.25% of the world’s population. Tether is said to be in talks with investors to raise $20 billion at a valuation of about $500 billion. This valuation surpasses ByteDance and equals OpenAI, making it one of the most highly valued unlisted companies in the world.

4. Vitalik: ZK and FHE will reshape the future of blockchain, and cryptography is entering the era of “availability”

According to live news from the 2025 Shanghai Blockchain International Week and the 11th Blockchain Global Summit, Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum, said in his speech that blockchain and cryptography technology have made great progress in the past ten years and are moving from early exploration to a new stage of "scalable, developer-friendly, and low-cost".

He pointed out that zero-knowledge proof (ZK) and homomorphic encryption (FHE) are developing rapidly, making real-time verification of Ethereum L1 blocks a reality, and the blockchain is becoming more efficient, more decentralized, and more privacy-protecting.

Vitalik emphasized that cryptography is moving from "theoretical" to "universally available". In the next five to ten years, the cost of technologies such as ZK, FHE, and L2 will be close to zero and integrated into all applications like signatures and encryption.

He also proposed a new security concept of "not your silicon, not your private key" and called for attention to hardware trustworthiness and privacy protection. He encouraged developers to actively participate in the ecological construction of ZK and blockchain, from entrepreneurship, underlying R&D to application practice, to jointly promote the formation of the next generation of decentralized infrastructure.

Not surprisingly, the market fell again——

The historic stampede on October 10th and 11th (more than $19 billion to $20 billion in leverage was liquidated within 24 hours) has completely reduced the market’s trading depth and scared away market makers.

Since that day, the market has become extremely fragile, and today's decline mechanism is exactly the same as last time:

In a market with extremely thin liquidity, any small retracement will easily trigger a chain of forced liquidations, and then continue to fall, triggering liquidation. The depth will become even worse, and liquidation will continue until the spot price falls to cover.

ETFs also have no stable one-way signals. Last week, there was a single-day net outflow of approximately $536M, and it just recorded a net inflow of $477M. Most traditional investors are also testing back and forth and have given up on the sustained large-scale buying at the beginning of the year.

In addition, CEX also played a part in promoting the decline. The announcement of the offline plan of spot and contracts at this time will cause the trading robot to automatically shut down and clear positions before and after the window period, which will definitely cause a certain scale of selling effect.

The last point is the macro background. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) approached a high of 99 last night, the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield is still hovering at a high of 3.95%–4.00%, and the entire crypto market is highly headwinds.

Daily level: BTC's heavy volume has fallen below the dividing line between bulls and bears and is below the trend line. It is currently in a short position and is currently in a sideways market. In terms of form, the bulls have support. It has not effectively fallen below 107200 in the short term, and there is still a chance to continue to rebound. The upper pressure is around 112500, and the rebound is open to open a short position.

Four-hour level: It is recommended to go long after stepping back to 107500, cover the position at 107000, stop loss near 10600, target 109500, or go short after rebounding to 112500.

Weekly level: in danger, the top divergence trend is downward, the lifeline is supported by 107500, if it falls below the heavy volume, it will be near 10W, the current short position is, rebound and open short. The upper pressure is around 114,000.

I am Su Hu. I have been focusing on encryption for 12 years. I have built a member community with 5 years of professional one-on-one technical teaching (Dreamer market reading tools, system tactics) + short-term strategies + spot layout. If you want to join the community for learning, you can add ↓↓↓ my contact information for consultation. I hope our encounter will be full of happiness, and I hope to help you advance steadily step by step!

There are two ways to do transactions:

The first is on the left side, buying the bottom and finding the top: drawing support and pressure, and drawing trend lines. The advantage is that the winning rate is higher. As long as the stop loss is not too narrow, the winning rate is at least 60%, and the compound interest returns are very scary. Like many experts who only deal with BTC, ETH, and SOL, most of them are on the left side.

The second is on the right side, chasing the rise and killing the fall: chasing the breakthrough, a 30% winning rate is pretty good. The advantage is that as long as there is a big market, you can make a lot of money in one wave. For example, K God’s wave of tens of thousands of dollars rolled up to 2 million dollars, retired Langlang, and my good brothers Shuishui and Taozi. I estimate that they will all be able to get big A8 or small A9 within a year or two.

Depending on your different personalities, you can only choose one thing to do. If you can't even do one well, don't think you can do both well at the same time. These are two relatively antagonistic values that require different dispositions. If you are used to doing oscillations on the left side, if you are arrogant and enlarge your position, you will be taken away by a wave of trending market. All support pressures will be broken one day. Those who follow the trend on the right side will be beaten repeatedly during the shock period until one day they go completely crazy. Frequent short-term orders will be worn out by handling fees and slippage.

What kind of personality makes what kind of trading mode, but whether to choose the left side or the right side is something that must be constantly considered at the beginning of the trading journey.

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▶In the currency circle, you have the opportunity to stand on the shoulders of your predecessors, and you can not only learn knowledge, but also accumulate practical experience. The market is turbulent and the currency is floating. There is no shortage of money in the currency circle, but methods and technology!

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▶I have been in the industry for 12 years now. I have experienced many rounds of bulls and bears and am well aware of the charm and challenges of the currency industry. In 2020, I teamed up with experts and technical teams to jointly create Dreamer (Dreamer) market viewing tools, systematic tactics and professional communities. Firstly, it is based on the vision of being willing to hold an umbrella for leeks after getting wet in the rain. Secondly, it is also my own interests and hobbies. I can showcase my skills and get recognition, and at the same time help people in need!

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This article is intended to convey more market information and does not constitute any investment advice. The article only represents the author's opinion. Investment is risky, so you need to be cautious when entering the market and plan your investment reasonably!

You still need to be hardworking in blacksmithing. Only by improving your cognition and professional abilities can you master the code of wealth!

Warm reminder: Making money when playing with contracts is just a process, liquidation must be the final result. As my fans, don’t try the contract easily!