Bitcoin must have a bull market

Nakamoto 2025-10-27 13:29 47955人围观 BTC

Hello everyone, today is October 25, 2025. Let’s talk about a key topic-Bitcoin must have a bull market. I have always firmly believed that the bull market of Bitcoin is not over, and the price will definitely usher in a final surge. But this does not mea

Hello everyone, today is October 25, 2025. Let’s talk about a key topic-Bitcoin must have a bull market.

I have always firmly believed that the bull market of Bitcoin is not over, and the price will definitely usher in a final surge. But this does not mean that you should hold on to it and wait until the highest point before selling. Li Ka-shing once said, "You should not earn the last copper penny." The same goes for investment. You cannot think of eating the "whole fish." It is enough to eat the head and body of the fish. If you are greedy for the tail, you will only become passive due to greed.

Investors with different styles need to formulate different plans and cannot be generalized. For those who are safe "coin collectors" or long-term holders, there is no need to frequently judge whether the bull market is still there, just hold firmly. ； And for those who try to sell high and buy low, chasing more tokens and then selling at a high point, it seems too aggressive.

Investment requires moderation and balance. The conservative and reasonable approach is to take out a small amount of positions and try to sell high and buy low. The specific proportion is determined according to your own risk preference. Use this part of the position as a "test" and wait until the high point before selling. ； Or implement a fixed selling plan and sell part of it now. In this way, if Bitcoin continues to trend bearish, there will be funds to buy the bottom when it falls. ； If the bull market continues, there will still be positions that can enjoy benefits, so it is prudent to be prepared with both hands.

Why do you firmly believe that Bitcoin will have a bull market? Three core basis

Basis 1: The linkage between Bitcoin and gold: the bull market lags but will surely follow

Judging from historical data, the Bitcoin bull market has always lagged behind the gold bull market, and the linkage between the two is very obvious.

An analysis has compared the bull market cycles of gold and Bitcoin. The sequential relationship between the gold bull market (bright yellow part) and the Bitcoin bull market (orange part) in the chart is clearly visible: if gold rises first, Bitcoin will follow suit, and this pattern keeps repeating.

More importantly, Bitcoin’s time to catch up with gold’s bull market is shortening:

In 2012, 428 days after the gold bull market, Bitcoin ushered in a bull market；
In 2016, 243 days after the gold bull market, the Bitcoin bull market started；
In 2020, Bitcoin started a bull market only 63 days after the gold bull market.

Since the beginning of this year, gold has continued to hit new highs and started a new round of bull market. The current gold bull market is coming to an end. According to the linkage law between the two and the trend of "shortening the catch-up time", Bitcoin's bull market will inevitably follow.

The core logic behind this rule is the continuation of the safe-haven demand for gold and “digital gold” (Bitcoin). When gold rises due to its safe-haven properties, Bitcoin, as a substitute for gold, will absorb subsequent safe-haven funds, thereby driving up the price. As long as the underlying logic of hedging demand remains unchanged, this pattern will repeat itself.

In addition, from the perspective of seasonal cycles, the previous bull markets of Bitcoin (in 2013 and 2017) were all concentrated in December at the end of the year, and the fourth quarter has always been a critical period for Bitcoin's rise. There are currently 5 days left in October, and there is still sufficient time window for subsequent increases.

Reason 2: Good news at the macro level, the Fed’s interest rate cut injects liquidity into the market

The recently released CPI data was slightly lower than expected, which paves the way for the next Fed rate cut. The market generally expects that the Federal Reserve will start multiple rounds of interest rate cuts, and current interest rate cut expectations are gradually coming to fruition.

Cutting interest rates means "flooding" liquidity support, which will bring more funds to the entire financial market. For the crypto market, sufficient liquidity is an important driving force for price increases. This macro-level benefit provides a solid external environment for the Bitcoin bull market.

Basis 3: Ethereum whale holdings increase, releasing positive market signals

In addition to Bitcoin's own logic, Ethereum's market dynamics can also reflect the popularity of the crypto market. Recently, the positions of Ethereum whales (investors holding 100-10,000 Ethereum) are increasing:

Between October 5th and 16th, Ethereum whales sold 1.36 million Ethereums, but in the past week, they bought back 218,000 Ethereums (about 1/6 of the previous selling volume). As professional investors in the market, whales' position changes have strong wind vane significance. This increase in holdings has released a positive signal that the crypto market is gradually recovering, and also provided side support for the Bitcoin bull market.

Summary: Firm faith and maintain confidence

Whether it is the historical linkage between Bitcoin and gold, the benefits of interest rate cuts at the macro level, or the changes in the positions of Ethereum whales, they all point to one conclusion-the Bitcoin bull market is bound to come.

Finally, we need to remind you that this content does not constitute any investment advice. If you want to systematically learn Web3 knowledge, or have in-depth exchanges with other investors and industry leaders, welcome to join my community.

On the investment journey, only by firming up your faith and maintaining confidence can you seize opportunities amid fluctuations.

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Finally, I would like to remind everyone: This article does not constitute any investment advice. Investment is risky and decisions must be made with caution.

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