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 Click on the blue words above to follow me and take you to learn more about quantitative consulting~  The race between gold and Ethereum has begun, and $5,000 is the finish line, but which asset will arrive first? In the prediction market Myriad, traders have already placed bets, with about 69.2% of funds currently predicting that Ethereum will reach $5,000 before gold. This is a bold prediction considering gold is trading around $4,115 today, October 26, much closer to the target, even though it has registered its largest single-day correction in over a decade. But technical analysis reveals why crypto traders might be right, and why they might be dead wrong.  Is Ethereum price on the verge of an explosion?Ethereum closed at $3,892 yesterday, down 2.3%, and hit a high of $4,112 during the session. The current trading price on the evening of October 26 is approximately $4,067. The weekly chart shows Ethereum consolidating in what appears to be a classic compression pattern, with all major technical indicators remaining weakly bullish. The average price of the last 50 weeks is higher than the average price of the last 200 weeks, and these moving averages act as dynamic support levels. When the faster EMA crosses the slower EMA, it means traders expect the overall market movement to be bullish in the long term.  The current average directional index ADX is 25.51, just above the critical value of 25. ADX measures trend strength regardless of direction—above 25 means there is actually a trend and not just random noise. This reading shows a valid but weakening trend. It's not screaming momentum, but it's enough to show that the bulls still have some power. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 53.69, right in the center of the neutral zone. An RSI above 70 usually triggers profit-taking by traders, while an RSI below 30 attracts bargain-hunting buyers. When the RSI is at 53, ETH is neither extended nor oversold — it’s in that perfect zone where both directions are possible.  In terms of support and resistance, looking at the broader perspective, there are at least two scenarios to consider. The optimistic one shows ETH in a short-term correction, following a pattern of higher lows since April 2025. If valid, this support line will take ETH to $5,000 by at least February 2026. There is also a bearish scenario that shows Ethereum in a multi-year horizontal channel, with the coin bouncing back after hitting resistance near the $5,000 line. If this is the case, the short-term dotted line will be invalid and ETH will likely drop to around $2,000 over the next year. Gold Ethereum Market Cap Reality CheckThis is where prediction markets get interesting, with gold having a market value of approximately $28 trillion. But Ethereum is less than $500 billion. That's a 56-fold difference. Driving the price of gold requires massive capital inflows because you are fighting the weight of the world's largest store of value. Central banks, institutions and sovereign wealth funds will not move quickly. Ethereum can surge 20% in two weeks on retail enthusiasm and institutional FOMO, which is exactly what happened between August 4 and 11, when ETH rose from about $3,200 to $3,850.  Considering the long-term trend, gold has maintained a bull market since 2016, with a cumulative increase of approximately 350% in nine years. Growth is slow and steady, suitable for institutional-level investors. But what about Ethereum? It lost 80% of its value twice during the crypto winters of 2018 and 2022. But each time it recovered, it grew explosively, up 3,000% from the 2020 lows to the 2021 peaks, and the volatility cut both ways.  Gold is the world's reserve store of value. Gold doesn't crash during market crises—gold tends to rise when investors flee to safety. The 2008 financial crisis, the 2020 pandemic, geopolitical tensions—gold thrives in uncertainty. With Ethereum, crypto winter is real. In terms of predictions, if the market overall remains bullish, ETH is expected to reach $5,000 early next year. Gold looks more solid, with slower but more stable growth. If the most optimistic support is respected, gold should be on par with Ethereum on its way to $5,000. If gold cools off and maintains its multi-year movement, it could reach that mark by mid-2026. Speed versus certaintyThis is a tough decision for the average investor, no doubt, as gold requires more than just technical analysis. And the nature of the crypto market has changed significantly over the past two years, which may have affected the historical pattern of one bear year for every three bull years. Ethereum has the potential to reach $5,000 sooner — possibly within 4 to 8 weeks if the bullish configuration resolves upward. A 30% increase is within Ethereum’s normal range of fluctuations, while the compression pattern suggests a big move is coming. With various traders betting 69.2% could push Ethereum to $4,500, confidence in the near-term bull run is clear.  But there is a crucial "if" to this statement. If macro conditions remain stable. If cryptocurrencies don’t face a sudden regulatory onslaught. If Bitcoin maintains support above $100,000. If risk appetite doesn’t collapse amid heightened crypto winter fears. It is more likely that gold will eventually reach $5,000, but it may take several months, and a 20% increase would require billions of capital to be mobilized. Myriad Markets’ bet on Ethereum is essentially a bet on speed rather than certainty. It is betting that Ethereum’s lower market cap and higher volatility will allow it to rush to $5,000 ahead of gold’s institutional pace. Technical indicators support this thesis, with Ethereum compressing and getting ready to move, while gold just experienced its largest single-day correction in 10 years and may take time to consolidate.  How to prevent blind investment and impulsive behavior in the currency circle? Sharing of intelligent quantitative trading auxiliary tools in the currency circleWhat is quantitative trading? Quantitative trading refers to using advanced mathematical models to replace human subjective judgments, using computer technology to select various "high probability" events that can bring excess returns from huge historical data to formulate strategies, which greatly reduces the impact of investor sentiment fluctuations and avoids making irrational investment decisions when the market is extremely fanatical or pessimistic. You can click on previous articles to view them   Why Choose CCR Spot Robot Why Choose CCG Contract Robot   Loyal old members share #CCR robot and profit sharing from idle time~  Observation account income update in September 2025: CCR spot robot: September return rate is 3.73%, cumulative return rate is 551.36%  CCG contract robot: September return rate is 5.85%, cumulative return rate is 434.59%   OEM customizes your own quantitative robot, supporting APP and PC solutions. The cryptocurrency quantification market is hot. The market is left to you and the technology is left to us. There is no need to form a technical team, saving money, time and being more mature!   About robot operation and questions   Intelligent spot quantification robot (CCR) CCR has different technologies and algorithms to deal with bull market and bear market. 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