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When retail investors panic sell because ETH falls below $4,000, I must reveal the truth about the market - this is not a precursor to a bear market, but a "gold pit" that institutions have planned for a long time. If you miss this time, you may regret it above $5,000.1. The current core status of ETH: three major skyrocketing signals hidden in panicBehind the price fluctuations is the light and dark game of funds. As of October 30, the current price of ETH was US$3,864, a 24-hour drop of 3.94%. However, this wave of correction has long been predicted by institutions - BitMine spent US$251 million to scan for 63,000 ETH when the price fell by 5%. It is suspected that the new wallet added 27,000 ETH worth more than US$100 million, and the total holdings exceeded US$13 billion. More importantly, Huang Licheng continued to increase his long position in ETH, holding a total of 3,300 ETH, and bet on the rise with 25 times leverage. The consensus between whales and institutions has never been so consistent. The moat between technology and ecology continues to deepen. In May, Pectra upgraded to increase the pledge limit from 32 ETH to 2048 ETH. In September, the Fusaka test network was launched. It is expected that the transaction speed will soar to 12,000 transactions per second after the main network goes online in December. The current total locked-up volume of Layer 2 has exceeded 38 billion US dollars, and ecosystems such as Arbitrum and Linea continue to attract money. The supply side has even shown an "epic-level tightening": the pledged amount has reached 36.15 million, accounting for 30% of the circulating supply, exchange reserves have dropped to 15.9 million, a six-year low, the positions of 70 treasury entities have exceeded 6 million, and circulating chips have been locked up crazily. There are hidden mysteries in ETF capital flows. Despite a short-term capital outflow of US$93.6 million, the cumulative inflow of ETH ETF exceeded US$14.4 billion. Giants such as BlackRock and Fidelity have heavy positions in the long term. The scale of spot ETF reached US$27.84 billion, accounting for 5.6% of the market value. Institutional allocation demand has never cooled down. 2. The ultimate judgment of the market trend: short-term breakout of 4266, long-term target of $8,000The technical aspect gives a clear reversal signal. ETH is currently oscillating in the range of $3866-4266. The support level of $3866 has been tested many times and has not been broken. The 4-hour chart shows a "cup-handle pattern" and a bullish flag pattern appears on the daily line. The contraction of MACD volume indicates short exhaustion. Once the resistance level of $4266 is exceeded, it will directly open the space to $5200. I dare to assert that as long as it does not effectively fall below 3,800 US dollars, it will definitely break 4,500 US dollars in November, and it is a high probability event to hit 5,200 US dollars before the end of the year! In the long term, the rising logic of ETH has shifted from "speculative asset" to "value pivot". After the Fusaka upgrade is implemented in 2026, transaction costs will be reduced by another 42%, enterprise-level applications will be accelerated, holdings of listed companies have reached 1 million, and the proportion of institutional users has increased to 38%. ETH is becoming a "must have" for mainstream asset allocation. Adding an annualized destruction rate of 1.8% to achieve net deflation, with the combined force of these three factors, hitting $8,000 in 2026 is by no means empty talk - this is not a prediction, it is an inevitable conclusion based on data! Those who are scared off by short-term fluctuations essentially do not understand the underlying logic of the crypto market: institutions will always accumulate funds in panic and sell in enthusiasm. Every correction now is the last window for ordinary people to get on the bus. Just like when it fell below $3,000 in 2021, those who hesitate will eventually be abandoned by the wave of the times. 3. Final warning: Don’t let fear steal your wealth!This round of adjustment for ETH has come to an end. The three pillars of capital, technology, and ecology are all firmly established. The next step will only be a "shock upward + breakthrough explosion" script. Remember, the opportunity to get rich in the crypto market will always be reserved for those who dare to persevere in panic, rather than those who chase the rise and kill the fall.  |
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