English
38139
|
Brothers, staring at this 1-hour K-line chart, do you feel that your heartbeat is beating with the red and green columns? As a veteran who has been working hard in the crypto world for many years, today I must peel off the recent "disguise" of ETH and talk about its current game and future direction based on this latest 1-hour K-line chart - no ambiguous nonsense, only hard-core logic + emotional personal predictions! 1. Recent market situation: "long-short secret battle in the 1-hour chart"” Looking at this 1-hour K-line chart (the timeline covers the early trading from March 23 to March 26), the trend of ETH is like a sophisticated "stress test":  Key price game: The high reached 2199.00 and then fell quickly, then fluctuated repeatedly around 2160.46 (current price). This range is a "chip-intensive area" - a fierce confrontation between the hold-up orders and profit-taking orders in the early stage. The bulls want to break through and the shorts want to smash the market, forming a temporary "balanced state". The lower support 2021.58 is the "golden pit" of the recent correction, and the two attempts have not been effectively broken, indicating that "Smart Money" is quietly accumulating funds in this area (although the trading volume has not increased, the decline has reduced the volume, and the rebound has increased the volume, which is a typical feature of "washing up funds"). Signals from technical indicators: Moving average system: yellow (long-term moving average, such as MA60) and white (medium-term moving average, such as MA20) show a trend of "twirling and diverging upwards", purple (short-term moving average, such as MA10) also gradually turns upward - the "prototype of a bullish arrangement" of the moving average is taking shape, suggesting that the mid-term trend is warmer. BOLL indicator: The price is running above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands (about 2140-2150 range), the upper track (2190-2200) is short-term pressure, and the lower track (2100-2110) is strong support. The current price is oscillating between the "middle track and the upper track", which shows that bulls are accumulating power and are waiting for the "trigger" to break through the upper track. MACD/RSI/KDJ: The MACD red column gradually enlarges (although it is not completely golden cross, the momentum increases)； RSI rebounded from the oversold zone (<30) to the "strong range" of 50-60” ； KDJ diverges upward after the golden cross - the technical "resonance signal" is emerging, and the probability of a short-term rebound is increasing. 2. Deduction of future trends: my emotional prediction (dare to tell the truth version) As a veteran who has "experienced bulls and bears, been beaten up by the market and made money", I have a very clear emotional judgment on the short-term (1-2 weeks) and medium-term (1-3 months) trends of ETH: Short term (1-2 weeks): The shock is accumulating, and a breakthrough is imminent! Don't be fooled by the current "grinding" - judging from the "rising lows, testing of highs, turning averages, and coordination of volume and energy" on the 1-hour chart, ETH is in the "final accumulation period before a breakthrough." Upper pressure: 2199-2200 (previous high + Bollinger upper track). Once the heavy volume breaks through, new upside space will be opened (the target is 2250-2300). Lower support: 2100-2110 (Bollinger lower rail + early shock platform), as long as it does not fall below effectively, it is the "low-buying window". At this stage, the longer the shock, the stronger the explosive force after the breakthrough - just like a compressed spring, the tighter it is pressed, the higher it bounces. Mid-term (1-3 months): Fundamentals + technical aspects "resonate", and ETH will become the "engine of the crypto market"! I have only two core logics: Technical "trend": The 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily moving averages are all in "gradual long arrangement," the BOLL band opening shows signs of expansion, and the probability of MACD's "second golden cross" is extremely high - the technical "bull market signal" is moving from "prototype" to "established." "Certainty" in fundamentals: The dividends of the Cancun upgrade (Dencun) continue to be released, L2 network fees are "negligible", and the ecological implementation of RWA (real world assets) and DeSoc (decentralized social networking) on Ethereum is accelerating - this is not "storytelling", but "real money value transfer". What's more critical is the macro level: "expectations of interest rate cuts" from central banks around the world are heating up (especially the Federal Reserve). Once the liquidity gate is loosened, ETH, as the "technological blue chip + financial settlement layer in the crypto world", will be the first and most violent beneficiary asset! I dare to say: In the rest of 2024, ETH's performance will "astonish everyone" - the current shock is just "the last wash before the big bull market." 3. Emotional summary: Don’t leave the market during shocks, but add positions when there is a breakthrough! Looking at this 1-hour K-line chart, I seem to see the "darkness before dawn"-long and short are competing here, retail investors are anxious, and the main players are collecting funds. But as a veteran, I want to shout: "Today's ETH is a 'golden pit', not a 'crematorium'!" ” Don’t panic in the short term, shocks are “opportunities””； Don't be timid in the mid-term, the trend is "inevitable". If you believe in the "future of the crypto market" and the "ecological barriers of Ethereum", then every correction now is a good opportunity to "get on board". What's your point? See you in the comments section! I am that encryption veteran who “dare to tell the truth and perform emotional analysis”. What do you think about the subsequent trend of ETH? Do you think there will be a "breakthrough immediately" or "there will be a correction"? Welcome to leave a message in the comment area, let’s communicate together and verify the prediction! If this article is helpful to you, don’t forget to follow me - I will continue to track ETH’s market changes and fundamental dynamics, and bring the most timely and hard-core analysis. Let us join together to seize the "rushing moment" of ETH in the wave of encryption! (Note: The above analysis is based on the current 1-hour K-line chart and public data. The encryption market risk is extremely high, so investment needs to be cautious. This article does not constitute investment advice. ) |
|
|
|
|
|
