BTC 30-minute K-line

ETH 30 minute K line

Viewpoint: The current market is divided: ETH is in the [shock range] and faces key technical resistance; BTC is in an [uptrend], with strong support from the moving average system. There are significant differences in the technical form and market status of the two.
Market status comparison- ETH: Oscillatory range (key resistance 4180), high volatility + overbought status, facing correction pressure in the short term
- BTC: The upward trend is clear, the moving average is arranged in a long position + golden cross, and the momentum continues to increase.
Common environmental characteristics: Neutral market sentiment, lack of unilateral macroeconomic drivers, and the coordination of trading volume remains to be seen.
1. Overall analysis and judgmentThe price of ETH fluctuates within the range of 4100-4180, and the technical aspect shows contradictory signals: although the moving average maintains a bullish arrangement, the three crows pattern and the overbought state of RSI imply short-term correction pressure. The price is close to the strong resistance level of 4180 and touches the upper Bollinger Band, further strengthening the adjustment expectations. We need to focus on the effectiveness of the 4100 support level. If it falls below, it may open up downside space. BTC’s clear upward trend is confirmed by the moving average system, and the bull arrangement forms a technical resonance with the golden cross. The bullish engulfing pattern provides additional support, but the price is close to the strong resistance of 114971 and the volume and energy coordination is insufficient, and it may face technical adjustments in the short term. The overall trend is still upward, and any pullback can be regarded as a bargain hunting opportunity.
2. Key interpretationsTechnical diagnosis- ETH
- The upper edge resistance of the range is clear: 4180
- Three crows pattern + RSI overbought, higher probability of correction
- Upper Bollinger Band pressure appears, volatility amplifies
- BTC
- Moving average long arrangement + golden cross, strong trend momentum
- Bullish Engulfing Pattern Confirms Buying Power
- The resistance level of 114971 is facing a test, and demand can cooperate with the breakthrough
External environment diagnosis- Market Sentiment Neutral (Fear & Greed Index)
- Fed policy expectations and institutional capital flows form a long-short balance
- There is no significant change in macro data, and technical aspects dominate the short-term trend.
3. Suggested pointsETH (shock range)- Resistance level empty
- Entrance: 4175
- Stop loss: 4220
- Target: 4115
- Basis: Close to strong resistance and multiple overbought signals resonate
- Many support levels
- Entry: 4095
- Stop loss: 4045
- Target: 4170
- Basis: 4100 support area combined with range trading logic
BTC (Uptrend)- More stable
- Entrance: 112800
- Stop loss: 111500
- Target: 114980
- Basis: clear trend + effective support level, bargain hunting layout
- Many breakthroughs
- Entrance: 114650
- Stop loss: 114000
- Target: 115750
- Rationale: Resistance breakout confirms trend acceleration
4. Risk warning- If ETH falls below 4045, the shock pattern may turn to decline
- If BTC falls below 111500, the upward trend will face challenges
- When trading volume amplifies and key levels break through, you should follow up promptly.
- Events such as options delivery on Friday could exacerbate short-term volatility
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This article is a personal analysis point of view, is for information exchange and market research only, and does not constitute investment advice or trading recommendation. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and risky. Investors need to independently assess risks and take independent responsibilities.
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