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BTC breaks through $115,000: Technical analysis and trading strategies of the four major currencies (October 27)

Nakamoto 2025-10-28 00:45 40269人围观 BTC

Today’s market quick overview BTC: $115,280 (+2.56%) ETH: $4,163 (+4.42%) BNB: US$1,144 (+2.36%) SOL: US$198-205 range ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1. BTC technical analysis: 116,000 pressure level becomes key 1. Price structure analysis BTC item...
Today’s market quick overview

BTC: $115,280 (+2.56%) ETH: $4,163 (+4.42%) BNB: $1,144 (+2.36%) SOL: Range-bound between $198-205

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1. BTC technical analysis: 116,000 pressure level becomes key

1. Price structure analysis

BTC is currently in a volatile range of $114,500-$116,000. On the daily level, the price is testing key resistance at $116,000, the third test since the pullback in early October.

Key price points:
  • Strong Support: $114,500
  • Near-term support: $113,000
  • Near-term resistance: $116,000
  • Strong Resistance: $120,000

2. Interpretation of technical indicators

AHR999 fixed investment index: 0.93284212

This index is lower than 1.2, indicating that it is currently in a suitable range for fixed investment. Historical data shows that when the index is lower than 0.45, it is the bottom buying range, 0.45-1.2 is the fixed investment range, and when it is higher than 1.2, it is the waiting range. The current level of 0.93 indicates that although the market is rising, it is not overheated.

Trading volume analysis:
  • Volume has increased continuously in the past 4 days
  • Significant selling pressure appears near $116,000
  • There are signs of support for large orders at $114,500

3. Trading strategy

Short-term strategy:
  • Entry point: Open positions in batches near $114,500
  • Target levels: US$116,000 (first target), US$120,000 (second target)
  • Stop loss: $113,000

Midline strategy:
  • Add positions after breaking through $116,000
  • Targeting $120,000-125,000
  • Stop loss set at $114,000

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2. ETH technical analysis: 4,122 support established

1. Morphological analysis

ETH closed the upper shadow line near $4,258, indicating that there is strong selling pressure at this position. However, the support level of $4,122 has been established, which is an important support after the sharp decline on October 11.

Key price points:
  • Strong support: $4,122
  • Near-term resistance: $4,258
  • Target Resistance: $4,300
  • Lower support: $4,000

2. Volume-price relationship
  • Volume increased significantly on the move up to $4,258
  • Volume fell back to $4,122, showing little selling pressure
  • MACD has a golden cross on the daily line, but caution is needed when approaching high levels

3. Operation suggestions

Shock strategy:
  • Sell ​​high and buy low in the range of US$4,122-4,258
  • A break above $4,258 looks towards $4,300
  • If it falls below $4,122, reduce positions and wait and see

ETH/BTC exchange rate: The current ETH/BTC exchange rate is about 0.0361, which is at a recent low. ETH/BTC arbitrage trading can be considered.

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3. BNB technical analysis: Sideways trend awaiting breakthrough

1. Sideways consolidation pattern

BNB has been trading sideways in the range of $1,151-1,182 for 5 days, with the daily line showing a convergent triangle shape. After the completion of the 33rd quarterly burn ($1.208 billion), the supply is reduced to 137.7 million coins.

Key price points:
  • Lower track support: $1,151
  • Upper track resistance: $1,182
  • Breakthrough Target: $1,220
  • Stop loss: $1,140

2. Destruction impact analysis
  • 1.441 million BNB were destroyed this time
  • The annualized destruction rate is approximately 4.2%
  • Supply deflation supports long-term prices

3. Trading strategy

Range trading:
  • Buy near $1,151
  • Reduce positions near $1,180
  • Breaking through $1,182 to chase the bulls
  • Stop loss below $1,151

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4. SOL technical analysis: 198-210 US dollars box shock

1. Analysis of shock pattern

SOL retreated after testing the previous high of $205 and currently finds support at $198. The 4-hour chart shows that $198-202 forms a dense trading area.

Key price points:
  • Strong support: $198
  • Shock range: 198-202 US dollars
  • Near-term resistance: $205
  • Target: $210

2. Relative strength analysis

The SOL/BTC exchange rate remains near 0.00172, which is slightly weaker than BTC. However, SOL ecological TVL (total locked value) continues to grow, and fundamentals support the price.

3. Operation strategy
  • $198 is the ideal buying point
  • $202 can be used to partially take profit
  • Breaking through $205 and looking at $210
  • Stop loss set at $195

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5. Key market events and risk warnings

Important time points this week:

October 29, 02:00 - Fed interest rate decision, October 29, 02:30 - Powell's press conference, October 30, 01:15 - Logan speaks, October 30, 21:30 - Logan speaks again

Risk warning:
  1. The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 96.7%, but if the rate cut is less than expected (50 basis points), the market may experience a correction.
  1. BlackRock transferred US$118 million BTC and US$107 million ETH to the exchange, need to pay attention to the movements of large investors
  1. Gold fell more than 2% on a daily basis, and the flow of safe-haven funds needs to be continuously monitored
  1. The shadow of the plunge on October 11 has not been completely eliminated, beware of a second dip



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