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Nakamoto 2025-11-1 00:58 20797人围观 BTC

Since October 11th, the currency circle has been as if the “slow-motion button” has been pressed - the rebound is as soft as a deflated balloon, and new stories are cut off after just two sentences. How to make money? It doesn't exist. Most people are either stuck or want to curse at the loss. But let’s not panic, this “depressed and impatient” energy is actually a bit “emotional”!

How bad is the current currency circle? From "swearing in the group" to "silent and pretending to be dead", the emotional bottom is getting closer

The sentiment of the currency circle in these 20 days is simply a "record of a large-scale mental collapse":

Bounce? Doesn't exist! It finally rose a little, but was immediately knocked back to its original state by selling orders. Even the big "good news" of the Fed's interest rate cut did not make a splash. The market was so weak that I didn't even bother to find new words to complain about. ；

The group is even more lively: in the first two weeks, there were all the scoldings of "Guzhuang is immoral" and "Whoever wants to speculate on this broken coin", but this week gradually no one said a word - either they have figured it out, but they are tired of scolding, and started "silent and pretending to be dead"”；

Old players all know that the mood has always been "depression→irritability→silence", but now it is stuck at the juncture of "irritability turning to silence". If you get over it, maybe there will be a turn for the better.

My core points are two: Don’t touch leverage! It is a bull market to survive until the shock is over

Since October 11th, I have emphasized these two points over and over again, and I will shout them again today:

Patience is more important than anything else! Now is the "contract-killing shock period", don't touch leverage

Gouzhuang is now focusing on the "leveraged" ones. If you dare to increase the leverage, it will dare to blow up your position. Let’s be pragmatic and use spot stocks to buy the bottom in batches. Even if we buy a small amount, it is better than liquidating the position to zero. ；

After the shock, it will be a bull market! The logic is simple: there are going to be more dollars

QE (releasing water) has ended. Although the probability of an interest rate cut has dropped a bit in December, the Fed's intention to stop shrinking its balance sheet is a real sign. With the current easing of relations, the general trend of dollar flooding has not changed - there is more money, and asset prices will rise sooner or later. Whatever you endure now is future profits.

BTCÐ Current situation: BTC broke through 106,000 and then rebounded. Did those who bought the bottom of ETH3680 make money?

Let’s look at BTC first: Yesterday it directly broke through 109,500 and fell all the way to 106,200. It made people’s hearts beat. However, it rebounded within a few minutes and is now back to around 109,000. Focus on the threshold of 109,500 - after passing it, the next step is to look at 111,500 and 113,600 ； If you can't pass it, you'll most likely have to fall back.

Look at ETH again: This thing is even more annoying! After touching the pressure level of 4250 on the 27th, the "sell order switch" was clicked. After falling below 4100, even large-scale spot purchases were gone. In the early morning, the lowest touch was 3680, which was exactly the "3680-3700 bottom-hunting range" I mentioned last night. Today is Friday, the volume and energy are not expected to be big, and the market is likely to be restored - if it stands above 3880, then consider going long on the right side. If it cannot stand, it may be necessary to test the support of 3700.

Someone asked, “When will the price increase?” There is only one answer: when the contract makers are afraid and dare not place orders, and there is no more leeks to cut in Gouzhuang, the market will naturally move!

SOL, you know how to "roll over"! It's just too much praise. I rode three roller coasters and got nothing out of it.

When talking about SOL, I just want to sigh - this guy really cannot be praised! I just said it was "anti-fall" a few days ago, but then I lost all my positions. From 10.11 to now, I have been on three roller coasters: when it went up, I thought it was going to take off, when it went down, I doubted it would return to zero. In the end, I didn't make any money, and I just became the "market sentiment group".

But we also have to admit: making a trend list is like making porridge, how can there be no foam? If you are trading in a small band, don’t be “FOMO” if the market sells out. Otherwise, your mentality will collapse and your operation instructions will be deformed. When the time comes, you will chase the rise and kill the fall, and you will suffer even more losses.

But the good news is that SOL did not fall below the support in the early morning, and the original view remains unchanged - next I will focus on 11.5-11.8 in the past few days. If there is a "top/turning signal", I will consider placing short orders and get 11.17-11.20. If this wave is right, I can make up for the previous losses!

Take a look at the potential coins: Is SUI 1.8 an opportunity? SHIB reveals the truth about the currency circle

Although the mainstream coins are boring, there are two small coins that are worth watching:

#SUI: It is now back to the strong support area of 1.8-2.1 US dollars. Last time, the main force grabbed the liquidity here and directly triggered a surge.； If I grab it again this time, I might be able to get $20+! Of course, don’t be too impatient. First check whether the support is stable. ；

#SHIB: This thing is simply a "currency circle living textbook" - it rose in two waves in two years, one for one month, one for three months, and the remaining 21 months were spent in a bear market. This is the truth about the currency circle: the crazy rise lasts for a while, and most of the time it is an "enduring tug of war."

Finally, I would like to say something from my heart: just hang in there and you will win.

It would be false to say that the current market situation is not exciting, but remember three points:

Don't touch the lever! Leverage is "borrowing money at the gambling table". If it rises by 1% or falls by 1%, the position may be liquidated. Spot buying in batches is the most stable. ；

Don't be led astray by your emotions! Those who curse in the group and say "the bull is gone" should just listen. The macro logic is not broken and the bull market is still there. ；

Keep an eye on the key points: BTC at 109,500, ETH at 3880, SUI at 1.8 dollars, and then move when the signal arrives.

Of course, the above are all personal opinions and do not constitute investment advice. Be sure to do your own research! The currency circle has always been "the one who remains is king". If you can survive the silence now, you can wait for the madness in the future.

It’s really a pity that we haven’t caught up with the wave of market conditions! Keeping track of the market alone is laborious and easy to fall into, so why not join our circle: analyze the market, find low points, communicate with each other, avoid detours, and wait for the next bull market together with a group of knowledgeable friends to seize the opportunity to double!