BTC market analysis on November 24, 2025

Nakamoto 2025-11-24 14:00 61511人围观 BTC

Judging from the current screenshots and market data, the market of BTC (BTCUSDT perpetual contract) on November 24, 2025 can be analyzed from the following dimensions: 1. Current price and short-term trend - The latest price is US$87,605.6, a slight inc

Judging from the current screenshots and market data, the market of BTC (BTCUSDT perpetual contract) on November 24, 2025 can be analyzed from the following dimensions:

1. Current prices and short-term trends

- The latest price is US$87,605.6, a slight increase of 0.65% from the previous stage, but it is in the low range after the recent correction (previously falling from a peak of US$116,000 to US$80,600).

- Short-term support: $82,000 (stage low shown in screenshot)； Resistance level: $90,000 (center of shock in the past 5 days).

- Technical aspect: It is currently in a state of range oscillation, trading volume is shrinking (retail investor participation is low), and it is difficult to have a unilateral market in the short term, with a high probability of fluctuating between 82,000 and 90,000 US dollars.

2. Core characteristics of the market

- Institutionalization is accelerating: retail investors have left the market (the number of addresses holding ≤1 BTC has decreased by 120,000), institutions have deployed at a low level (the number of whale addresses has increased by 3.2%), the market has shifted from "speculation-driven" to "allocation-driven", and volatility has decreased but the shock cycle has been extended.

- Sentiment and indicators: The fear and greed index is in the extreme fear range (around 15), RSI is oversold, MACD is dead cross, short-term selling pressure still exists, but the decline in high trading volume also indicates that the adjustment is nearing the end.

3. Influencing factors and future prospects

- Short-term (1-7 days): Pay attention to whether the support of $82,000 is held. If there is no major news (such as Federal Reserve policy, regulatory developments) and the situation remains volatile, it is not appropriate to blindly buy the bottom/chasing the high.

- Mid- to long-term (1-3 months): Focus on three major signals - the Fed’s interest rate cut expectations in December (65% probability), new SEC custody regulations, and the progress of the Lightning Network； If the signal is positive, it is expected to rebound to test $100,000, otherwise you need to be wary of the risk below $80,000.

Summarize

Currently, BTC is in the bottoming stage of the shock after the correction. It is weak in the short term but has limited room for decline. In the medium and long term, macro and institutional trends need to be followed.