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The recent abstraction of BTC has pinned upward, let’s take a look at the understanding of AI: “Liquidity Engineering”

Nakamoto 2025-12-21 23:33 78141人围观 BTC

--------------------- I believe that the recent behavior of BTC has made many friends a little confused. I keep inserting pins upward to play with abstraction: Send a few Christmas trees for Christmas, right? Let’s take a look at what AI says about this s


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I believe that the recent behavior of BTC has made many friends a little confused. They keep inserting pins upward to play abstractly:



A few Christmas trees for Christmas, right?

Let’s see what AI says about this situation: Bitcoin has now fallen by more than 30% from its high point, and it has been trading sideways recently, but it has been pushing its needle upward for several days in a row. What does this mean?



AI (ChatGPT):

1. Let me conclude first: This is not the start of a trend.


If you condense all the details into one sentence:

The current BTC market is more like a "redistribution/acquisition phase after a decline" rather than a trend reversal or the start of a major rise.

Continuously inserting pins upward does not mean that bulls are strong;
In many cases, it means exactly:
The market is being deliberately "created and harvested liquidity."


2. Why do you say this is not a "short exploding"?


A true short squeeze usually has several clear characteristics:

  • After the pin is inserted, the price no longer falls back quickly

  • Can effectively stand on key intervals or moving averages

  • Then a structure with rising highs was formed.

  • At the same time, the futures open interest (OI) dropped significantly.

In the current market situation, what we see is:

  • Pull upward sharply

  • It was quickly smashed back to the original range within a few minutes or a few K lines.

  • The sideways structure has never been destroyed

What does this mean?

The instructions that have been cleaned up are just:

  • Partially high leverage, short-term chasing positions
    instead of:

  • Systemic, trend-level shorts.

in other words:
This is "stop loss sweep", not "short squeeze".


3. Is that “a one-time big bill every day”?


This judgment is very close to the truth, but needs slight modification.

A more accurate statement is:

There are funds at a specific price that eat up the weak liquidity above in a very short period of time, but do not continue to follow up.

Typical characteristics include:

  • Extremely fast lifting speed

  • Transactions are concentrated in a short period of time

  • Don’t protect the disk after pulling

  • Prices fall naturally

This is not retail behavior, but a standard structural money test:

They don’t care about the average transaction price;
Only care about one question:

“Is there any order on it? ”


4. Where is the main cost area? This is the key to understanding everything


To judge the main cost area, we cannot look at the lowest point, nor the high point, but three factors:

  1. Price stays the longest

  2. The most complete change of hands

  3. Neither top nor bottom has been effectively broken through

In the current market situation, it is very obvious:

  • Every time it falls into a certain range, it is not a V-shaped reversal.

  • Instead, it oscillates horizontally for a long time and wears out time.

  • Explain that there is an unhurried but real undertaking below.

This area is where the main force can really slowly build positions.

The problem is——
Prices have never left this cost zone.


5. If you insert the pin upward but do not stand firm, what does it really mean?


One sentence summary:

The main force already has a position in the cost area, but is not in a hurry to let the price leave its own cost area.

If the main force really wants to start the trend:

  • We will not allow prices to return to the cost zone repeatedly

  • You won’t “let go” quickly every time you pull up.”

  • It will not allow the structure to remain sideways all the time.

Now this behavior can only mean one of two things (or both):

  1. There is still selling pressure from above that needs to be digested

  2. I haven’t taken enough storage space yet, so it’s not suitable for carrying a sedan chair.



6. The real purpose of continuous pin insertion: mobility engineering


When the market goes sideways for a long time, a problem will arise:

  • Both long and short are unwilling to add positions

  • Stop loss gradually decreases

  • Liquidity starts to dry up

The role of the pin is to recreate liquidity:

  • Insert the pin upward → lure long + sweep short stop loss

  • Quick fall → trap the chasers

  • Price returns → Continue to accumulate funds in the cost zone

This is why you see:

  • Insertion needle "comes every few days"”

  • But the structure has never changed



7. A very important detail: the pin is inserted harder and harder, but the effect is getting worse and worse.


This is something that many people overlook.

If you look carefully, you will find:

  • The pin width is not small

  • But structural changes are increasingly limited

This usually means:

  • The stop loss and short chasing orders above are decreasing

  • Liquidity is being gradually eaten up

From a behavioral finance perspective, this often occurs when:

The second half of the sideways move, not the beginning.


8. True positioning at the current stage


Comprehensive spot structure + pin behavior + futures logic:

  • ❌ Not the main upgrade startup

  • ❌ Not a trend reversal confirmation

  • ❌ It is not a systematic short position liquidation

  • ✅ Yes Redistribution after decline + washout stage

One sentence version:

The main force was already present, but not yet ready to carry the sedan chair.


9. What really deserves attention next is not “whether there are pins or not””


But whether the following three signals appear at the same time:

  1. After a certain upward pull, the step back will no longer return to the main cost area.

  2. Pulling up is no longer "a pin", but a continuous increase in volume

  3. Futures OI begins to decline, but prices can stabilize

Only satisfied at the same time,
That's where the structural move really begins.


The last word for you:


In the sideways stage, the pin is not a direction, but a trap.
The real direction is never determined by a K line.

If you find this article helpful,
Then you are already better than most people who only focus on "the price is rising or not",
Look at one more layer of the market.

------------------

emmmm, AI’s writing is okay. In some places, it is indeed what it says, especially the “last sentence” above.”


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2025/12/19 Friday

These are personal opinions only and do not constitute investment advice.





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